Rio Noguchi and Woobin Shin will fight against each other in the quarter of the Jinan Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rio Noguchi is the pick to win this match.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.46
Woobin Shin -> 2.55
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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Woobin Shin
This will be the 2nd time that Rio Noguchi and Woobin Shin clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Noguchi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Noguchi won 3-6 7-6(4) 6-4 in the qualifications in the Busan Challenger back in April 2024.
Rio Noguchi
29 - 21win/loss
301
201
LLLLLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 333, Rio got to the quarter after defeating Bogdan Bobrov 7-5 6-4 and Aidan Mchugh 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Mchugh (6-3 6-3). During the match, Noguchi scored 67 points vs Mchugh’s 46. Rio was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Noguchi scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Rio Noguchi was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rio broke Mchugh 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Noguchi has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (316-218). 23-14 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Noguchi has a composed211-132 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Rio’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Swan Hill.
The Japanese has an aggregate 28-21 win-loss record in 2024, 23-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Jinan Challenger
Noguchi has never competed in this tournament before.
Woobin Shin
31 - 18win/loss
556
556
WWWWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-22 | 29-17 | 3-2 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-28 | 21-23 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-11 | 11-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 793 (career-high), the Korean got to the quarter after defeating Edward Winter 6-3 6-4, Moerani Bouzige 7-6(5) 6-1, Ryan Peniston 7-5 6-3 and Ajeet Rai 3-6 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Rai, Woobin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Shin scored 89 points vs Rai’s 74. The Korean was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Shin blasted 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Woobin Shin was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (31/40) of his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shin broke Rai 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Woobin’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Tokyo.
Shin has a compiled 31-17 win-loss record in 2024, 21-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | Shin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 86 |
| Pts | 142-106 | 309-245 |
| Total Points | 248 | 554 |
| Winners | 58 | 103 |
| %Winners | 41% | 33% |
Noguchi played 2 matches while Shin competed in 4 matches. Shin started his run from the qualifications while Noguchi had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Woobin Shin conceded 1 set while Rio Noguchi hasn’t lost a set so far. Noguchi has played 5 set(s) less than Shin (4 vs 9). Therefore, Noguchi played 46 games less than Shin. Rio scored 58 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Korean made 103 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | Shin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 72/109 | 138/262 |
| %1st in | 66% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 58/72 | 103/138 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 24/37 | 71/124 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 57% |
Noguchi fired 2 aces (1 per match). Shin made 17 aces (4.3 per match). Noguchi won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Shin won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | Shin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 17 |
| Converted | 6/18 | 17/35 |
| % Converted | 33% | 49% |
| Conceded | 5 | 20 |
| Saved | 4 | 12 |
| % Saved | 80% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 8 |
Rio broke his opponents 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Shin broke his opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. Shin conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Noguchi | ||||
| R1 Bobrov |
R2 Mchugh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 18 | 40 | |
| pts | 75-60 | 67-46 | 142-106 | |
| Total points | 135 | 113 | 248 | |
| Winners | 36 | 22 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 33% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 45/63 | 27/46 | 72/109 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 59% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 22/27 | 58/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 14/19 | 24/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 74% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/10 | 6/18 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 30% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shin | ||||||
| Q1 Winter |
Q3 Bouzige |
R1 Peniston |
R2 Rai |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-65 6-1 | 7-5 6-3 | 3-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 21 | 26 | 86 | |
| pts | 67-46 | 82-68 | 71-57 | 89-74 | 309-245 | |
| Total points | 113 | 150 | 128 | 163 | 554 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | 26 | 31 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 28% | 37% | 35% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 29/53 | 32/68 | 37/66 | 40/75 | 138/262 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 47% | 56% | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 23/32 | 26/37 | 31/40 | 103/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 72% | 70% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/24 | 24/36 | 18/29 | 20/35 | 71/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 67% | 62% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 3/10 | 4/8 | 4/9 | 17/35 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 30% | 50% | 44% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 5/6 | 3/5 | 1/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 83% | 60% | 33% | 113% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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