Gabriel Diallo and Shintaro Mochizuki will square off in the qualifications of the Cary Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:30 pm on COURT 15. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gabriel Diallo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gabriel Diallo is the pick to win this match.
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.59
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Gabriel Diallo vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
There is no head to head record between Gabriel Diallo and Shintaro Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Gabriel Diallo
28 - 18win/loss
87
86
LLWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-26 | 30-12 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 141, the Canadian reached the qualifications after beating Eliot Spizzirri 7-6(3) 7-6(1).
In the qualifications, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Spizzirri (7-63 7-61). During the match, Diallo scored 83 points vs Spizzirri’s 71. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Diallo struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Gabriel Diallo was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Diallo broke Spizzirri once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Diallo has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (111-68). 14-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Diallo has a composed54-31 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Chicago Challenger where he defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
The Canadian has a compiled 27-18 win-loss record in 2024, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.
Shintaro Mochizuki
17 - 23win/loss
235
129
LWWLWLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 158, the Japanese got to the qualifications after beating Marc Polmans 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Polmans (7-5 6-4). During the match Mochizuki scored 70 points vs Polmans’s 58. Mochizuki was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Mochizuki bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (29/37) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Polmans 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Mochizuki has an aggregate 17-22 win-loss record in 2024, 8-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Diallo | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 22 |
| Pts | 83-71 | 70-58 |
| Total Points | 154 | 128 |
| Winners | 36 | 29 |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% |
Both Diallo and Mochizuki played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Diallo and Mochizuki have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Diallo played 4 games more than Mochizuki. The Canadian scored 36 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese blasted 29 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Diallo | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 3 |
| 1st in | 46/75 | 37/56 |
| %1st in | 61% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 36/46 | 29/37 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 12/19 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 63% |
Diallo struck 10 aces . Mochizuki struck 3 aces . Diallo won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Diallo | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 3 |
| Converted | 1/5 | 3/10 |
| % Converted | 20% | 30% |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 |
| Saved | 4 | 0 |
| % Saved | 80% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Gabriel broke his opponent once with a 20% conversion rate. Gabriel dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Shintaro broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Mochizuki conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Diallo | |||
| Q1 Spizzirri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 83-71 | 83-71 | |
| Total points | 154 | 154 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 46/75 | 46/75 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 36/46 | 36/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 20/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 1/5 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Polmans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 70-58 | 70-58 | |
| Total points | 128 | 128 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 37/56 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 29/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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