Nuno Borges and Rafael Nadal will face off in the final of the Nordea Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.39
Nuno Borges -> 3.02
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Prediction and head to head Nuno Borges vs. Rafael Nadal
There is no head to head record between Nuno Borges and Rafael Nadal since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Nuno Borges
24 - 18win/loss
33
30
LLLLWWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-26 | 20-12 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 31-7 | 29-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 51, Borges got to the final after defeating Andrea Pellegrino 6-2 7-6(3), Henrique Rocha 1-6 6-4 6-0, Timofey Skatov 6-4 6-3 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Borges had a good straight sets win against Agustin Tirante (6-3 6-4). During the match, Borges scored 64 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 42. Nuno was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Borges managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Nuno Borges was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Portuguese broke Agustin Tirante 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nuno has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Borges has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (274-125). 12-6 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Borges has a compiled 121-55 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Phoenix Challenger where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-5 7-6(4).
Borges has an overall 24-18 win-loss record in 2024, 12-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Nuno has never competed in this tournament before.
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 261, Rafael reached the final after beating Leo Borg 6-3 6-4, Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-4, Mariano Navone 6-7(2) 7-5 7-5 and Duje Ajdukovic 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal against Ajdukovic, Nadal recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Nadal scored 86 points vs Ajdukovic’s 73. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Nadal was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 80% of his first serves in, winning 62% (39/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the 2nd serve. Rafael was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Ajdukovic 6 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Bastad.
The Spaniard has a composed 11-5 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Borges | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 105 |
| Pts | 303-239 | 351-300 |
| Total Points | 542 | 651 |
| Winners | 123 | 151 |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% |
Both Borges and Nadal played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Nuno Borges conceded 1 set, while Rafael Nadal surrendered 2 sets. Borges has played 1 set(s) less than Nadal (9 vs 10). Therefore, Borges played 23 games less than Nadal. Nuno scored 123 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Rafael recorded 151 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Borges | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 176/262 | 223/313 |
| %1st in | 67% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 123/176 | 151/223 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 45/86 | 47/90 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 52% |
Borges scored 9 aces (2.3 per match). Nadal managed to score 11 aces (2.8 per match). Borges won 70% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Borges | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 21 |
| Converted | 16/32 | 21/38 |
| % Converted | 50% | 55% |
| Conceded | 21 | 29 |
| Saved | 13 | 15 |
| % Saved | 62% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 14 |
The Portuguese broke his opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Portuguese surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 21 times with a 55% conversion rate. Nadal conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 52% of the break points that he conceded.
| Borges | ||||||
| R1 Pellegrino |
R2 Rocha |
1/4 Skatov |
1/2 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-63 | 1-6 6-4 6-0 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 82 | |
| pts | 72-61 | 98-82 | 69-54 | 64-42 | 303-239 | |
| Total points | 133 | 180 | 123 | 106 | 542 | |
| Winners | 33 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 31% | 46% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 48/63 | 55/90 | 39/60 | 34/49 | 176/262 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 61% | 65% | 69% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 30/55 | 32/39 | 28/34 | 123/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 55% | 82% | 82% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/15 | 20/35 | 8/21 | 11/15 | 45/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 57% | 38% | 73% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/13 | 3/7 | 3/6 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 46% | 43% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 7/11 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 64% | 50% | 67% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Nadal | ||||||
| R1 Borg |
R2 Norrie |
1/4 Navone |
1/2 Ajdukovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-72 7-5 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 105 | |
| pts | 61-48 | 68-53 | 136-126 | 86-73 | 351-300 | |
| Total points | 109 | 121 | 262 | 159 | 651 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | 48 | 39 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 47% | 35% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 43/60 | 78/121 | 63/79 | 223/313 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 72% | 64% | 80% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 32/43 | 48/78 | 39/63 | 151/223 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 74% | 62% | 62% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 11/17 | 17/43 | 10/16 | 47/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 65% | 40% | 63% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 21 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/7 | 10/21 | 6/6 | 21/38 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 48% | 100% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 29 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 7/15 | 5/10 | 15 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 47% | 50% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Rafael NadalNadal (0-0) – H2H and prediction
