Jasmine Paolini and Emma Navarro will face off in the quarter of Wimbledon for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emma Navarro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emma Navarro is the pick to win this match.
Emma Navarro -> 1.55
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.52
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Emma Navarro
This will be the 4th time that Jasmine Paolini and Emma Navarro clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Navarro (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Navarro won 6-2 3-6 6-0 in the 3rd round in Miami back in March 2024.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Italian reached the quarter after beating Sara Sorribes Tormo 7-5 6-3, Greetje Minnen 7-6(5) 6-2, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 7-6(4) 6-1, Madison Keys 6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 ret. and Emma Navarro .
In the 4th round against Keys, Paolini had a free pass after Keys retired on a 6-3 6-76 5-5 . scoreline.
Paolini has winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (313-237). 6-1 on grass in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has a compiled 12-14 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Dubai where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
The Italian has a compiled 28-12 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Emma Navarro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-24 | 33-14 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-24 | 17-9 | 37-11 | 3-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-18 | 8-8 | 23-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-13 | 6-6 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17 (career-high), Navarro got to the quarter after beating Qiang Wang 6-0 6-2, Naomi Osaka 6-4 6-1, Diana Shnaider 2-6 6-3 6-4 and Cori Gauff 6-4 6-3.
In the 4th round, The American had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-4 6-3). During the match Navarro scored 61 points vs Gauff’s 54. Emma was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Navarro wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Emma Navarro lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Navarro put 72% of her first serves in, winning 66% (29/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Gauff 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Navarro has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Hobart where she overcame Elise Mertens in the final 6-1 4-6 7-5.
The American has an overall 40-15 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 94 | 77 |
| Pts | 336-281 | 252-201 |
| Total Points | 617 | 453 |
| Winners | 128 | 116 |
| %Winners | 38% | 46% |
Both Paolini and Navarro played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jasmine Paolini surrendered 1 set, while Emma Navarro conceded 1 set. Paolini has played 1 set more than Navarro (10 vs 9). Therefore, Paolini played 17 games more than Navarro. The Italian scored 128 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Emma fired 116 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 0.3 |
| 1st in | 198/290 | 164/229 |
| %1st in | 68% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 128/198 | 116/164 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 43/92 | 32/65 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 49% |
Paolini bagged 4 aces (1 per match). Navarro struck 1 ace (0.3 per match). Paolini won 65% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Navarro won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 23 | 18 |
| Converted | 23/44 | 18/27 |
| % Converted | 52% | 67% |
| Conceded | 28 | 15 |
| Saved | 13 | 8 |
| % Saved | 46% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 15 | 7 |
The Italian broke her opponents 23 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 46% of the break points that she conceded. Navarro broke her opponents 18 times with a 67% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | ||||||
| R1 Sorribes Tormo |
R2 Minnen |
R3 Andreescu |
R4 Keys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 7-65 6-2 | 7-64 6-1 | 6-3 6-76 5-5 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | 20 | 32 | 94 | |
| pts | 75-60 | 78-64 | 69-52 | 114-105 | 336-281 | |
| Total points | 135 | 142 | 121 | 219 | 617 | |
| Winners | 34 | 22 | 28 | 44 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 28% | 41% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 51/74 | 37/58 | 37/56 | 73/102 | 198/290 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 64% | 66% | 72% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 34/51 | 22/37 | 28/37 | 44/73 | 128/198 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 59% | 76% | 60% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 11/21 | 10/19 | 13/29 | 43/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 52% | 53% | 45% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | 4/7 | 7/13 | 23/44 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 57% | 54% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 28 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 4/8 | 0/1 | 2/8 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | |
| Navarro | ||||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Osaka |
R3 Shnaider |
R4 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | 6-4 6-1 | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 17 | 27 | 19 | 77 | |
| pts | 54-30 | 55-38 | 82-79 | 61-54 | 252-201 | |
| Total points | 84 | 93 | 161 | 115 | 453 | |
| Winners | 24 | 27 | 36 | 29 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 49% | 44% | 48% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 30/40 | 33/45 | 57/83 | 44/61 | 164/229 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 73% | 69% | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 27/33 | 36/57 | 29/44 | 116/164 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 82% | 63% | 66% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 7/12 | 10/26 | 10/17 | 32/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 38% | 59% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/5 | 6/10 | 3/4 | 18/27 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 80% | 60% | 75% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 15 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6/12 | 2/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 50% | 67% | 29% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWW
L Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Tadeas ParoulekParoulek – Marko MiladinovicMiladinovic (3-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Alexander VasilenkoVasilenko (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Peter TorebkoTorebko – Jan MertlMertl (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lukas RosolRosol – Pascal BrunnerBrunner (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lulu SunSun – Donna VekicVekic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-3) – H2H and prediction
