Vilius Gaubas and Nicolas Alvarez Varona will square off in the 2nd round of the Milan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:30 am on COURT 13. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Vilius Gaubas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Vilius Gaubas is the pick to win this match.
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.48
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Vilius Gaubas vs. Nicolas Alvarez Varona
There is no head to head record between Vilius Gaubas and Nicolas Alvarez Varona since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Vilius Gaubas
30 - 17win/loss
186
179
LWLWLLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-35 | 7-4 | 40-28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-26 | 3-3 | 55-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-17 | 4-4 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 272 (career-high), the Lithuanian got to the 2nd round after defeating Yaroslav Demin 6-1 6-0.
In the 1st round, Gaubas had a good straight sets win against Demin (6-1 6-0). During the match, Gaubas scored 50 points vs Demin’s 16. The Lithuanian was pretty aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gaubas recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Vilius Gaubas was very efficient on serve to win 84% (16/19) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vilius broke Demin 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Gaubas has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 63% of his matches (110-65). 23-12 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Gaubas has a compiled95-49 record in the last 4 years on clay.
Gaubas’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Antalya,M25 Faro and the Rome Challenger.
Gaubas has a compiled 29-16 win-loss record in 2024, 23-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Milan Challenger
Gaubas has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 4-3 | 36-19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-9 | 21-6 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 860, Alvarez got to the 2nd round after beating Maks Kasnikowski 6-4 7-65.
In the 1st round, Alvarez had a good straight sets win against Kasnikowski (6-4 7-65). During the match Alvarez scored 75 points vs Kasnikowski’s 68. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Alvarez fired 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Nicolas Alvarez Varona lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alvarez put 61% of his first serves in, winning 72% (33/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (9/30) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Kasnikowski 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Alvarez has a composed 7-11 win-loss record in 2024, 7-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaubas | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 23 |
| Pts | 50-16 | 75-68 |
| Total Points | 66 | 143 |
| Winners | 16 | 33 |
| %Winners | 32% | 44% |
Both Gaubas and Alvarez played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gaubas and Alvarez have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gaubas played 10 games less than Alvarez. Gaubas scored 16 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas bagged 33 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaubas | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 19/35 | 46/76 |
| %1st in | 54% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 16/19 | 33/46 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 12/16 | 9/30 |
| %2nd pts | 75% | 30% |
Gaubas fired 2 aces . Alvarez struck 4 aces . Gaubas won 84% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Alvarez won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 30% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaubas | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 71% | 60% |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Vilius broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Vilius had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Alvarez broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaubas | |||
| R1 Demin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 50-16 | 50-16 | |
| Total points | 66 | 66 | |
| Winners | 16 | 16 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 19/35 | 19/35 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 16/19 | 16/19 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/16 | 12/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 75% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Alvarez | |||
| R1 Kasnikowski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 75-68 | 75-68 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 46/76 | 46/76 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 33/46 | 33/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/30 | 9/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | 30% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLLWWL
LWWWLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Milan Challenger
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Gabriel DebruDebru (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Samuel Vincent RuggeriVincent Ruggeri – Michael VrbenskyVrbensky (6-73 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – Maks KasnikowskiKasnikowski (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Javier Barranco CosanoBarranco Cosano (6-3 7-67) – See score progression
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Andrea PicchionePicchione (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Carlos TabernerTaberner (7-5 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Gianluca MagerMager – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ivan GakhovGakhov – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Federico GaioGaio – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (6-3 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Federico CinaCina (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Yaroslav DeminDemin (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Elmer MollerMoller – Tristan LamasineLamasine (7-64 7-63) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Gonzalo BuenoBueno (4-6 6-0 7-63) – See score progression
- Giovanni FonioFonio – Mathias BourgueBourgue (6-2 3-6 7-68) – See score progression
- Enrico Dalla ValleDalla Valle – Ignacio BuseBuse (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico GaioGaio – Ivan GakhovGakhov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gianluca MagerMager – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Enrico Dalla ValleDalla Valle – Giovanni FonioFonio (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (0-1) – H2H and prediction
