Jiri Lehecka and Rafael Nadal will face off in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 10:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.65
Jiri Lehecka -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Jiri Lehecka vs. Rafael Nadal
There is no head to head record between Jiri Lehecka and Rafael Nadal since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jiri Lehecka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 24-10 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-19 | 20-10 | 4-1 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 18-13 | 10-8 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-32 | 5-4 | 24-13 | 13-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-26 | 12-3 | 34-15 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Jiri reached the 4th round after defeating Hamad Medjedovic 7-5 6-4 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-4 7-67.
In the 3rd round, Jiri had a good straight sets win against Moura Monteiro (6-4 7-67). During the match, Lehecka scored 76 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 69. Lehecka was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Lehecka scored 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jiri Lehecka was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (34/44) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Czech broke Moura Monteiro twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lehecka hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Lehecka has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (195-126). 2-0 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Lehecka has a compiled95-54 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where he beat Jack Draper in the final 4-6 6-4 6-3.
The Czech has a compiled 15-8 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 512, Rafael got to the 4th round after defeating Darwin Blanch 6-1 6-0, Alex De Minaur 7-66 6-3 and Pedro Cachin 6-1 6-75 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard defeated Cachin (6-1 6-75 6-3). During the match Nadal scored 109 points vs Cachin’s 89. Nadal was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Nadal couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 78% of his first serves in, winning 64% (38/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (6/17) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Cachin 9 times after converting 50% of his break points (9/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nadal has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Nadal has a compiled 6-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, he won this tournament 5 times in 2005, 2010, 2013, 2014 and 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lehecka | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 64 |
| Pts | 149-127 | 229-176 |
| Total Points | 276 | 405 |
| Winners | 69 | 89 |
| %Winners | 46% | 39% |
Lehecka played 2 matches while Nadal competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Rafael Nadal lost 1 set while Jiri Lehecka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Lehecka has played 3 set(s) less than Nadal (4 vs 7). Therefore, Lehecka played 19 games less than Nadal. Jiri scored 69 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 89 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lehecka | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 83/126 | 128/177 |
| %1st in | 66% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 69/83 | 89/128 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 26/43 | 26/49 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 53% |
Lehecka blasted 16 aces (8 per match). Nadal managed to score 2 aces (0.7 per match). Lehecka won 83% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lehecka | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 18 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 18/32 |
| % Converted | 31% | 56% |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 75% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
Lehecka broke his opponents 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Jiri dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Rafael broke his opponents 18 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Lehecka | ||||
| R2 Medjedovic |
R3 Moura Monteiro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-4 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 | 45 | |
| pts | 73-58 | 76-69 | 149-127 | |
| Total points | 131 | 145 | 276 | |
| Winners | 35 | 34 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 39/58 | 44/68 | 83/126 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 35/39 | 34/44 | 69/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 77% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 15/24 | 26/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 63% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/4 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 50% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nadal | |||||
| R1 Blanch |
R2 De Minaur |
R3 Cachin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 7-66 6-3 | 6-1 6-75 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 22 | 29 | 64 | |
| pts | 53-25 | 67-62 | 109-89 | 229-176 | |
| Total points | 78 | 129 | 198 | 405 | |
| Winners | 19 | 32 | 38 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 48% | 35% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 24/39 | 45/62 | 59/76 | 128/177 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 73% | 78% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 19/24 | 32/45 | 38/59 | 89/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 71% | 64% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 9/17 | 6/17 | 26/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 53% | 35% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/5 | 9/18 | 18/32 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 80% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWLWW
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Jakub MensikMensik (6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (5-7 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pedro CachinCachin (6-1 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger RuneRune (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-77 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-610 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander BublikBublik (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Casper RuudRuud (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
