Federico Coria and Pablo Llamas Ruiz will face off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on COURT 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.62
Pablo Llamas Ruiz -> 2.21
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz
There is no head to head record between Federico Coria and Pablo Llamas Ruiz since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Federico Coria
17 - 12win/loss
99
49
LWWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-34 | 0-3 | 43-30 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-22 | 3-5 | 15-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 83, the Argentine got to the qualifications after beating Mikhail Kukushkin 6-2 4-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, Coria defeated Kukushkin (6-2 4-6 6-2). During the match, Coria scored 82 points vs Kukushkin’s 72. Federico was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Coria scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 4 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 73% of his first serves in, winning 71% (45/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (7/23) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Kukushkin 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Coria has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (420-268). 17-10 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Coria has an aggregate 404-222 match record in the last years on clay.
The Argentine’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Piracicaba Challenger.
Federico has a composed 17-11 win-loss record in 2024, 17-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
15 - 13win/loss
286
131
LLWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-16 | 2-5 | 10-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-21 | 12-6 | 33-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-23 | 2-4 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-16 | 2-2 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-5 | 2-4 | 7-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 146, the Spaniard reached the qualifications after defeating Quentin Halys 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Halys (6-2 6-4). During the match Llamas scored 65 points vs Halys’s 50. Pablo was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Llamas was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Pablo Llamas Ruiz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 71% (29/41) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Halys 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Llamas’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Murcia Challenger.
The Spaniard has a compiled 14-13 win-loss record in 2024, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Llamas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 |
| Pts | 82-72 | 65-50 |
| Total Points | 154 | 115 |
| Winners | 45 | 29 |
| %Winners | 55% | 45% |
Both Coria and Llamas played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Federico Coria conceded 1 set while Pablo Llamas Ruiz hasn’t lost a set so far. Coria has played 1 set more than Llamas (3 vs 2). Therefore, Coria played 8 games more than Llamas. Federico scored 45 winners (55% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo recorded 29 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Llamas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 0 |
| 1st in | 63/86 | 41/59 |
| %1st in | 73% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 45/63 | 29/41 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 7/23 | 10/18 |
| %2nd pts | 30% | 56% |
Coria scored 1 ace . Llamas didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Coria won 71% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 30% of the points. On the other side, Llamas won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Llamas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/7 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 86% | 57% |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 40% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Coria broke his opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. Coria conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Llamas conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | |||
| Q1 Kukushkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 82-72 | 82-72 | |
| Total points | 154 | 154 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 63/86 | 63/86 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 45/63 | 45/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/23 | 7/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | 30% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Llamas | |||
| Q1 Halys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-50 | 65-50 | |
| Total points | 115 | 115 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 41/59 | 41/59 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 29/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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