Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini will fight against each other in the quarter of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.31
Jasmine Paolini -> 3.46
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Paolini won 4-6 5-2 ret. in the 3rd round in Cincinnati back in 2023.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Rybakina got to the quarter after beating Veronika Kudermetova 7-63 1-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Elena defeated Kudermetova (7-63 1-6 6-4).During the match, Rybakina scored less points (6) than Kudermetova. In fact, the world no. 4 won 94 points vs Kudermetova’s. That means that Rybakina was more focused during the important points. Rybakina was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina made 9 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 63% of her first serves in, winning 66% (42/64) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (14/37) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Kudermetova 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Rybakina has an extraordinary match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (312-136). 1-0 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has a composed 76-34 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.
Rybakina has a compiled 23-4 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), the Italian got to the quarter after beating Sara Errani 6-1 6-0 and Ons Jabeur 7-68 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (7-68 6-4). During the match Paolini scored 84 points vs Jabeur’s 77. Jasmine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve twice and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 71% of her first serves in, winning 71% (41/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Jabeur 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jasmine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Dubai where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
The Italian has a compiled 14-7 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Paolini has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 36 |
| Pts | 94-100 | 136-96 |
| Total Points | 194 | 232 |
| Winners | 42 | 59 |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% |
Rybakina played 1 match while Paolini competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Elena Rybakina lost 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Paolini (3 vs 4). Therefore, Rybakina played 6 games less than Paolini. Elena scored 42 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Jasmine blasted 59 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 2 |
| 1st in | 64/101 | 78/115 |
| %1st in | 63% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 42/64 | 59/78 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 14/37 | 18/37 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 49% |
Rybakina managed to score 9 aces . Paolini blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Rybakina won 66% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 9 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 9/11 |
| % Converted | 44% | 82% |
| Conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Saved | 6 | 8 |
| % Saved | 55% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Rybakina broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. Paolini broke her opponents 9 times with a 82% conversion rate. Paolini conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R2 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 94-100 | 94-100 | |
| Total points | 194 | 194 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 64/101 | 64/101 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 42/64 | 42/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/37 | 14/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Paolini | ||||
| R1 Errani |
R2 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 7-68 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 23 | 36 | |
| pts | 52-19 | 84-77 | 136-96 | |
| Total points | 71 | 161 | 232 | |
| Winners | 18 | 41 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 49% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 20/33 | 58/82 | 78/115 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 18/20 | 41/58 | 59/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 71% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 11/24 | 18/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 46% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 3/4 | 9/11 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 75% | 82% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 7/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 78% | 178% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
WLWLLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Kevin KrawietzKrawietz – Gianluca MagerMager (5-7 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos BerlocqBerlocq (4-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro SousaSousa – Jiri VeselyVesely (5-7 5-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Martin KlizanKlizan – Mikael YmerYmer (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-4) – H2H and prediction
