Goncalo Oliveira and Bernard Tomic will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Mexico City Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on ESTADIO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Goncalo Oliveira who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Goncalo Oliveira is the pick to win this match.
Goncalo Oliveira -> 1.85
Bernard Tomic -> 1.89
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Prediction and head to head Goncalo Oliveira vs. Bernard Tomic
This will be the 2nd time that Goncalo Oliveira and Bernard Tomic face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Tomic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Tomic won 7-6(5) 7-5 in the qualifications in at the French Open back in 2018.
Goncalo Oliveira
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-33 | 28-20 | 19-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 92-29 | 48-15 | 40-11 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-27 | 7-7 | 10-16 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-34 | 8-6 | 14-27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 238, the Portuguese got to the 2nd round after beating Alafia Ayeni 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Portuguese had a good straight sets win against Ayeni (6-4 6-2). During the match, Oliveira scored 73 points vs Ayeni’s 53. Goncalo was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Oliveira made 7 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Goncalo Oliveira lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Oliveira put 63% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Goncalo broke Ayeni 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Oliveira has good match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (389-332). 5-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Oliveira has a compiled 264-198 match record in the last years on clay.
Oliveira has an overall 7-10 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Bernard Tomic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 34-19 | 12-5 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-27 | 35-19 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-12 | 24-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-12 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 284, Tomic reached the 2nd round after beating Omar Jasika 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Jasika (6-3 6-1). During the match Tomic scored 62 points vs Jasika’s 38. Tomic was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about serving, Tomic bagged 2 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Bernard Tomic was pretty efficient on serve to win 90% (19/21) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bernard broke Jasika 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Bernard’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Chennai.
Tomic has an aggregate 15-8 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Oliveira | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 |
| Pts | 73-53 | 62-38 |
| Total Points | 126 | 100 |
| Winners | 28 | 19 |
| %Winners | 38% | 31% |
Both Oliveira and Tomic played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Oliveira and Tomic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Oliveira played 2 games more than Tomic. Oliveira scored 28 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian managed to score 19 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Oliveira | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 2 |
| 1st in | 40/64 | 21/48 |
| %1st in | 63% | 44% |
| 1st pts | 28/40 | 19/21 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 90% |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 16/27 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 59% |
Oliveira made 7 aces . Tomic fired 2 aces . Oliveira won 70% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Tomic won 90% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Oliveira | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 63% | 57% |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 |
| Saved | 4 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Goncalo broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Goncalo dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Bernard broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Bernard was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Oliveira | |||
| R1 Ayeni |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 73-53 | 73-53 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 40/64 | 40/64 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/40 | 28/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 11/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Tomic | |||
| R1 Jasika |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 62-38 | 62-38 | |
| Total points | 100 | 100 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 21/48 | 21/48 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 44% | |
| 1st pts | 19/21 | 19/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 16/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
L
L Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Skander MansouriMansouri – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Matias SotoSoto (4-6 7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Elmar EjupovicEjupovic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Federico GaioGaio (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Goncalo OliveiraOliveira – Alafia AyeniAyeni (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Benjamin LockLock (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez – Antoine BellierBellier (6-78 6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Aidan MayoMayo – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-72 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Gerard Campana LeeCampana Lee (7-62 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Adam WaltonWalton (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Giovanni FonioFonio (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Bernard TomicTomic – Omar JasikaJasika (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Thai KwiatkowskiKwiatkowski (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi – Vasek PospisilPospisil (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Marc PolmansPolmans – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-3 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marc PolmansPolmans – Skander MansouriMansouri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Goncalo OliveiraOliveira – Bernard TomicTomic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Oliver CrawfordCrawford (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
