Elena Rybakina and Danielle Rose Collins will clash against each other in the final of the Miami Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.53
Danielle Rose Collins -> 2.57
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Danielle Rose Collins
This will be the 5th time that Elena Rybakina and Danielle Rose Collins face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Rybakina won 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in Abu Dhabi back in February 2024.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Danielle Rose Collins – Abu Dhabi 08-February-2024
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Rybakina got to the final after beating Clara Tauson 3-6 7-5 6-4, Taylor Townsend 6-3 6-73 6-4, Madison Keys 6-3 7-5, Maria Sakkari 7-5 6-74 6-4 and Victoria Azarenka 6-4 0-6 7-62.
In the semifinal, Rybakina defeated Azarenka (6-4 0-6 7-62).During the match, Rybakina scored less points (7) than Azarenka. In fact, the world no. 4 won 88 points vs Azarenka’s. That means that Rybakina was more focused during the important points. Elena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina struck 11 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 58% of her first serves in, winning 82% (40/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (13/35) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Azarenka twice after converting 18% of her break points (2/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina has conceded 4 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (311-135). 22-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a composed 149-69 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.
Elena has an overall 22-3 win-loss record in 2024, 22-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Danielle Rose Collins
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-17 | 20-10 | 19-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-18 | 19-15 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-12 | 17-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-15 | 23-10 | 11-3 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-6 | 6-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 53, Collins reached the final after defeating Bernarda Pera 3-6 6-1 6-1, Anastasia Potapova 6-2 6-2, Elina Avanesyan 6-1 6-2, Sorana Cirstea 6-3 6-2, Caroline Garcia 6-3 6-2 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, Collins had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (6-3 6-2). During the match Collins scored 61 points vs Alexandrova’s 38. The American was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Collins fired 5 aces and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Danielle Rose Collins was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (19/24) of her 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Alexandrova 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Danielle has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Danielle’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Miami.
The American has a composed 19-7 win-loss record in 2024, 19-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 14 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 148 | 105 |
| Pts | 488-457 | 409-279 |
| Total Points | 945 | 688 |
| Winners | 209 | 150 |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% |
Rybakina played 5 matches while Collins competed in 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina lost 4 sets, while Danielle Rose Collins dropped 1 set. Rybakina has played 1 set more than Collins (14 vs 13). Therefore, Rybakina played 43 games more than Collins. Elena scored 209 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 150 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 48 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 9.6 | 5 |
| 1st in | 271/460 | 194/353 |
| %1st in | 59% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 209/271 | 150/194 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 86/189 | 90/159 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 57% |
Rybakina scored 48 aces (9.6 per match). Collins struck 30 aces (5 per match). Rybakina won 77% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 26 |
| Converted | 19/59 | 26/59 |
| % Converted | 32% | 44% |
| Conceded | 35 | 25 |
| Saved | 20 | 20 |
| % Saved | 57% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 15 | 5 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 19 times with a 32% conversion rate. Rybakina dropped her serve 15 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 26 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||||||
| R2 Tauson |
R3 Townsend |
R4 Keys |
1/4 Sakkari |
1/2 Azarenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-73 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 7-5 6-74 6-4 | 6-4 0-6 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 32 | 21 | 35 | 29 | 148 | |
| pts | 109-104 | 104-97 | 71-55 | 116-106 | 88-95 | 488-457 | |
| Total points | 213 | 201 | 126 | 222 | 183 | 945 | |
| Winners | 41 | 47 | 33 | 48 | 40 | 209 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 46% | 41% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 48 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 59/103 | 60/106 | 41/63 | 62/104 | 49/84 | 271/460 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 65% | 60% | 58% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 41/59 | 47/60 | 33/41 | 48/62 | 40/49 | 209/271 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 78% | 80% | 77% | 82% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/44 | 22/46 | 11/22 | 21/42 | 13/35 | 86/189 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 48% | 50% | 50% | 37% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 4/10 | 3/8 | 5/16 | 2/11 | 19/59 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 40% | 38% | 31% | 18% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 35 | |
| Saved | 5/10 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 5/8 | 4/8 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 71% | 50% | 63% | 50% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Collins | ||||||||
| R1 Pera |
R2 Potapova |
R3 Avanesyan |
R4 Cirstea |
1/4 Garcia |
1/2 Alexandrova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 105 | |
| pts | 95-75 | 57-31 | 63-40 | 72-54 | 61-41 | 61-38 | 409-279 | |
| Total points | 170 | 88 | 103 | 126 | 102 | 99 | 688 | |
| Winners | 39 | 15 | 21 | 30 | 26 | 19 | 150 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 26% | 33% | 42% | 43% | 31% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 12 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 53/93 | 20/45 | 28/48 | 40/71 | 29/49 | 24/47 | 194/353 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 44% | 58% | 56% | 59% | 51% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 39/53 | 15/20 | 21/28 | 30/40 | 26/29 | 19/24 | 150/194 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 90% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 17/25 | 9/20 | 16/31 | 12/20 | 17/23 | 90/159 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 68% | 45% | 52% | 60% | 74% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 26 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/7 | 6/11 | 3/8 | 3/8 | 4/12 | 26/59 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 71% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 33% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 50% | 75% | 100% | – | 75% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
LLLLLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver (7-62 6-75 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
