H2H, prediction of Daniil Medvedev vs Holger Rune in Indian Wells with odds, preview, pick | 14th March 2024

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Medvedev and Rune will square off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Thursday the 14th of March

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Holger Rune

Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune will face off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.54
Holger Rune -> 2.48

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Holger Rune

This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Medvedev and Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Medvedev won 7-5 7-5 in the final in Rome back in 2023.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Holger Rune – Rome 21-May-2023

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev

13 - 2win/loss

Hard
13-2
I Hard
0-0
Rank
4
High
1
LLWWWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-19 28-9 11-5 0-3 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 4, the Russian got to the quarter after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 6-3, Sebastian Korda 6-4 5-7 6-3 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 6-4.

In the 4th round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (6-4 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 62 points vs Dimitrov’s 47. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Dimitrov 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medvedev has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a great win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (476-189). 12-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an aggregate 230-71 match record in the last years on hard.

The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the final at the Australian Open .

Daniil has a composed 12-2 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Medvedev
Indian Wells
Medvedev's Record

Holger Rune

Holger Rune
Holger Rune

13 - 6win/loss

Hard
10-4
I Hard
3-2
Rank
11
High
4
LWWWWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-23 21-11 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 7, the Dane got to the quarter after defeating Milos Raonic w/o, Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 7-65 and Taylor Fritz 2-6 7-62 6-3.

In the 4th round against Fritz, Holger recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-62 6-3). During the match Rune scored 97 points vs Fritz’s 88. Rune was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Rune managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (41/53) of his 1st serve and 61% (25/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Holger broke Fritz once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rune has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Dane’s best result of the year was getting to the final Brisbane.

The Dane has an overall 13-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.

Rune
Indian Wells
Rune's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
H.Rune
5h:14
5h:14
Time on court​
3h:54
3h:54
1h:16
1h:16
Last match​
!
2h:18
2h:18
!
3
3
Match played
2
2
68
68
Games Played​
51
51
7
7
Set played​​
5
5
229
229
Total points​
168
168
76.3
76.3
Avg point​
84
84
80
80
Winners
72
72
26.7
26.7
Avg Winners​
36
36
35%
35%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
7
7
2.7
2.7
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
13
13
Double Faults
5
5
4.3
4.3
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
80/103
80/103
1st won total​
72/91
72/91
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
43/83
43/83
2nd won total​
40/62
40/62
52%
52%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
16/35
16/35
BP won
3/9
3/9
5.3/11.7
5.3/11.7
Avg BP won
1.5/4.5
1.5/4.5
46%
46%
Won
33%
33%
13
13
Conceded
8
8
4.3
4.3
Avg Conceded
4
4
9
9
Broken
2
2
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Rune
Match played 3 2
Tot Set 7 5
Tot Games 68 51
Pts 229-182 168-144
Total Points 411 312
Winners 80 72
%Winners 35% 43%

Medvedev played 3 matches while Rune competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev lost 1 set, while Holger Rune dropped 1 set. Medvedev has played 2 sets more than Rune (7 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 17 games more than Rune. Daniil scored 80 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Rune recorded 72 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Rune
Aces 8 7
Avg per match 2.7 3.5
1st in 103/186 91/153
%1st in 55% 59%
1st pts 80/103 72/91
%1st pts 78% 79%
2nd pts 43/83 40/62
%2nd pts 52% 65%

Medvedev bagged 8 aces (2.7 per match). Rune made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Medvedev won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Rune
Won 16 3
Converted 16/35 3/9
% Converted 46% 33%
Conceded 13 8
Saved 4 6
% Saved 31% 75%
Times Broken 9 2

Daniil broke his opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve 9 times and he saved 31% of the break points that he conceded. Holger broke his opponents 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Dane conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R2
Carballes Baena
R3
Korda
R4
Dimitrov
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 17 31 20 68
pts 57-37 110-98 62-47 229-182
Total points 94 208 109 411
Winners 23 31 26 80
%Winners 40% 28% 42% 35%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 5 8
Double Faults 1 10 2 13
1st in 28/48 44/87 31/51 103/186
% 1st in 58% 51% 61% 55%
1st pts 23/28 31/44 26/31 80/103
% 1st pts 82% 70% 84% 78%
2nd pts 12/20 18/43 13/20 43/83
% 2nd pts 60% 42% 65% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 9 3 16
Converted 4/7 9/22 3/6 16/35
Converted % 57% 41% 50% 46%
Conceded 2 9 2 13
Saved 1/2 2/9 1/2 4
Saved % 50% 22% 50% 41%
Times Broken 1 7 1 9
Rune
R2
Raonic
R3
Musetti
R4
Fritz
R4
Fritz
Total
Score w/o 6-2 7-65 2-6 7-62 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 1 6
Tot Games 21 30 0 51
pts 71-56 97-88 88-97 256-241
Total points 127 185 185 497
Winners 31 41 36 108
%Winners 44% 42% 41% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 4 8 15
Double Faults 1 4 3 8
1st in 38/59 53/94 52/91 143/244
% 1st in 64% 56% 57% 59%
1st pts 31/38 41/53 36/52 108/143
% 1st pts 82% 77% 69% 76%
2nd pts 15/21 25/41 24/39 64/101
% 2nd pts 71% 61% 62% 63%
Breaks
Won 2 1 2 5
Converted 2/6 1/3 2/6 5/15
Converted % 33% 33% 33% 33%
Conceded 2 6 3 11
Saved 2/2 4/6 2/3 8
Saved % 100% 67% 67% 78%
Times Broken 0 2 1 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Medvedev
LLWWWLWWWL
Rune
LWWWWLWWWL
2024 2023 2022
45 - 19
45 - 23
28-9
Hard
21-11
0-3
I Hard
10-4
11-5
Clay
11-6
6-2
Grass
3-2

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

  • Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea VavassoriNathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim PuetzLloyd Glasspool/Jean-Julien RojerGlasspool/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-3 5-7 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio ZeballosNicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola MekticIvan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (6-4 6-79 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Alexander ZverevZverevCarlos AlcarazAlcaraz () – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Jiri LeheckaLeheckaJannik SinnerSinner () – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw