Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda will play each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.33
Sebastian Korda -> 3.34
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Korda (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Korda won 7-6(8) 6-2 in the 3rd round in Shanghai back in 2023.
Highlights Sebastian Korda vs Daniil Medvedev – Shanghai 08-October-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Russian reached the 3rd round after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (6-2 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 57 points vs Carballes Baena’s 37. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was very effective on serve to win 82% (23/28) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Carballes Baena 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Medvedev has a fantastic match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (474-189). 10-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an aggregate 228-71 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final at the Australian Open .
The Russian has a compiled 10-2 win-loss record in 2024, 10-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-10 | 6-4 | 6-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-1 |
Ranked no. 29, Sebastian got to the 3rd round after defeating Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Safiullin (6-4 6-2). During the match Korda scored 65 points vs Safiullin’s 49. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Korda managed to score 6 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sebastian Korda lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 55% of his first serves in, winning 64% (21/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 70% (19/27) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Safiullin 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Korda’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal Adelaide.
Sebastian has an aggregate 9-6 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 |
| Pts | 57-37 | 65-49 |
| Total Points | 94 | 114 |
| Winners | 23 | 21 |
| %Winners | 40% | 32% |
Both Medvedev and Korda played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Korda have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Medvedev played 1 game less than Korda. The Russian scored 23 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Korda made 21 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 6 |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 33/60 |
| %1st in | 58% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 21/33 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 19/27 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 70% |
Medvedev made 1 ace . Korda also blasted 6 aces . Medvedev won 82% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 64% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Medvedev broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Daniil lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 57-37 | 57-37 | |
| Total points | 94 | 94 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 28/48 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 23/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Korda | |||
| R2 Safiullin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 65-49 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/60 | 33/60 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 21/33 | 21/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/27 | 19/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWLW
LWLLWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Casper RuudRuud – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
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