[UPDATED R2]. Prediction, H2H of Matteo Arnaldi’s draw vs Alcaraz, Auger-Aliassime, Khachanov, Zverev, Sinner, Djokovic to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Matteo Arnaldi may need to oust Carlos Alcaraz, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Karen Khachanov, Alexander Zverev, Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic to conquer the competition in the BNP Paribas Open.

Matteo Arnaldi Stats info

Matteo Arnaldi is 6 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Arnaldi has defeated Luca Van Assche 7-66 7-63 to reach the 2nd round where he will face Carlos Alcaraz.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Matteo Arnaldi’s projected draw andhisprojected opponents in BNP Paribas Open. The Italian has a losing record (0-1) with the likely opposition.

R1 – Luca Van Assche (86) – 7-66 7-63
R2 – Carlos Alcaraz (2) – H2H 0-1
R3 – Felix Auger-Aliassime (31) – H2H 0-0
or Constant Lestienne (100) – H2H 0-1
R4 – Karen Khachanov (15) – H2H 0-0
or Nicolas Jarry (24) – H2H 0-2
1/4 – Alexander Zverev (6) – H2H 0-0
or Alex De Minaur (10) – H2H 0-1
1/2 – Jannik Sinner (3) – H2H 0-0
or Andrey Rublev (5) – H2H 0-1
Fin – Novak Djokovic (1) – H2H 0-0
or Daniil Medvedev (4) – H2H 0-2
Arnaldi
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R2 – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

54 - 13win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 6-3 record in 2024, 4-1 on hard. Regarding the last 7 years, Alcaraz has a 79-21 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Carlos’s most significant result of the season was getting to the semifinal Buenos Aires.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Spaniard won the tournament after beating Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-2.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This would be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Carlos Alcaraz play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

R3 – Felix Auger-Aliassime’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

32 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
29
High
5
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 32-25 6-10 17-8 9-5 0-2 0-0
2023 23-19 13-13 1-3 9-2 0-1 0-0
2022 60-27 14-9 11-7 31-7 4-4 0-0
2021 38-24 19-10 4-6 5-5 10-3 0-0
2020 23-19 8-8 1-3 14-8 0-0 0-0
2019 38-25 17-11 13-9 0-2 8-3 0-0
2018 41-28 18-9 21-14 2-5 0-0 0-0
2017 53-20 7-7 36-8 10-4 0-0 0-1

Felix Auger-Aliassime has a 6-6 record in 2024, 2-3 on hard. In the last 10 years, Auger-Aliassime has a 103-76 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Felix won 5 of his last 10 matches.

The Canadian’s most significant achievement of this season was reaching the semifinal Montpellier.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Auger-Aliassime was defeated by Carlos Alcaraz in the quarter 6-4 6-4.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Felix Auger-Aliassime since this would be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Yet, Matteo Arnaldi could compete against Constant Lestienne. Their H2H is 1-0 for Constant Lestienne.

R4 – Karen Khachanov’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

37 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
19
High
8
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0
2020 20-15 12-6 4-3 4-6 0-0 0-0
2019 30-29 13-11 7-6 6-9 4-3 0-0
2018 46-22 15-11 6-5 20-4 5-2 0-0
2017 28-32 8-13 14-9 1-8 5-2 0-0

Karen Khachanov has a 10-4 record in 2024, 8-3 on hard. Regarding the previous 13 years, Karen has a 158-96 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Khachanov won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of this current season was conquering the tournament in Doha where he defeated Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Russian lost to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the 3rd round 6-3 1-6 6-4.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Karen Khachanov

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Karen Khachanov since this would be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Nonetheless, Matteo Arnaldi could square off with Nicolas Jarry. Their H2H record is 2-0 for Nicolas Jarry.

1/4 – Alexander Zverev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

69 - 21win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
2
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0
2020 28-11 12-7 3-1 13-3 0-0 0-0
2019 44-25 20-9 16-8 6-5 2-3 0-0
2018 60-19 25-9 21-4 12-4 2-2 0-0
2017 57-22 22-8 16-4 10-7 9-3 0-0

Alexander Zverev has a 11-4 win-loss record in 2024, he played all matches on hard. During the last 12 years, Alexander has a 184-91 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The German won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of the current year was conquering the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Zverev was defeated by Daniil Medvedev in the 4th round 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-5.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alexander Zverev

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Alexander Zverev since this would be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

On the other hand, Matteo Arnaldi may square off with Alex De Minaur. Their head to head is 1-0 for Alex De Minaur.

1/2 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

73 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 12-0 record in 2024, 7-0 on hard. Talking about the last 7 years, Sinner has a 105-41 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Italian will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 10 matches winning streak.

His most significant achievement of the season was winning the competition at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3, and in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Sinner was defeated by Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinal 7-6(4) 6-3.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Jannik Sinner

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Jannik Sinner since this would be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Yet, Matteo Arnaldi may compete against Andrey Rublev. Their head to head is 1-0 for Andrey Rublev.

Final – Novak Djokovic’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

37 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0
2020 41-5 26-1 11-1 4-3 0-0 0-0
2019 57-11 26-6 15-3 9-2 7-0 0-0
2018 53-13 23-4 11-5 8-3 11-1 0-0
2017 32-8 10-3 12-4 2-0 8-1 0-0

Novak Djokovic has a 7-2 record in 2024, he played all matches on hard. In the previous 21 years, Djokovic has a 533-85 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

The Serbian’s best achievement of the season was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Djokovic didn’t take part in this event.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Novak Djokovic

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

On the other hand, Matteo Arnaldi could come up against Daniil Medvedev. Their H2H is 2-0 for Daniil Medvedev.