Otto Virtanen and Cem Ilkel will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Lugano Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:30 pm on CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Otto Virtanen who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Otto Virtanen is the pick to win this match.
Otto Virtanen -> 1.32
Cem Ilkel -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Otto Virtanen vs. Cem Ilkel
This will be the 2nd time that Otto Virtanen and Cem Ilkel fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Virtanen (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Virtanen won 6-4 7-6(5) in the final in the Lugano Challenger back in 2023.
Otto Virtanen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-24 | 9-10 | 5-7 | 16-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-31 | 4-6 | 4-10 | 22-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-31 | 4-1 | 7-12 | 25-13 | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 40-21 | 2-2 | 16-11 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 21-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126, the Finn reached the 2nd round after beating Remy Bertola 7-5 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Finn had a good straight sets win against Bertola (7-5 6-3). During the match, Virtanen scored 77 points vs Bertola’s 62. Otto was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Virtanen blasted 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Otto Virtanen was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Otto broke Bertola 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Virtanen has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (176-113). 12-1 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Virtanen has an overall107-42 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Pau Challenger where he beat Leandro Riedi in the final 7-5 7-5.
Virtanen has an aggregate 14-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Cem Ilkel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-21 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-29 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 27-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-16 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 16-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-29 | 17-9 | 13-11 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 2-3 | 1-7 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 318, Ilkel reached the 2nd round after beating Kyle Edmund 3-6 7-65 6-2, Illya Marchenko 7-66 7-62 and Johan Nikles 6-0 6-3.
In the 1st round, Ilkel had a good straight sets win against Nikles (6-0 6-3). During the match Ilkel scored 64 points vs Nikles’s 41. Cem was quite aggressive to blast 17 winners.
About the serving games, Ilkel bagged 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Cem Ilkel lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ilkel put 51% of his first serves in, winning 68% (17/25) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Cem broke Nikles 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Cem has an overall 7-6 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Virtanen | Ilkel |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 71 |
| Pts | 77-62 | 254-217 |
| Total Points | 139 | 471 |
| Winners | 26 | 97 |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% |
Virtanen played 1 match while Ilkel competed in 3 matches. Ilkel started his run from the qualifications while Virtanen had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Cem Ilkel lost 1 set while Otto Virtanen hasn’t dropped a set so far. Virtanen has played 5 set(s) less than Ilkel (2 vs 7). Therefore, Virtanen played 50 games less than Ilkel. The Finn scored 26 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Cem scored 97 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Virtanen | Ilkel |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 8 |
| 1st in | 32/61 | 127/227 |
| %1st in | 52% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 97/127 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 50/100 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 50% |
Virtanen managed to score 5 aces . Ilkel bagged 24 aces (8 per match). Virtanen won 81% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Ilkel won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Virtanen | Ilkel |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 10 |
| Converted | 3/12 | 10/23 |
| % Converted | 25% | 43% |
| Conceded | 3 | 19 |
| Saved | 2 | 13 |
| % Saved | 67% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
The Finn broke his opponent 3 times with a 25% conversion rate. Otto surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Turk broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Turk conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Virtanen | |||
| R1 Bertola |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 77-62 | 77-62 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/61 | 32/61 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 26/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 17/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/12 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ilkel | |||||
| Q1 Edmund |
Q3 Marchenko |
R1 Nikles |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-65 6-2 | 7-66 7-62 | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 26 | 15 | 71 | |
| pts | 103-97 | 87-79 | 64-41 | 254-217 | |
| Total points | 200 | 166 | 105 | 471 | |
| Winners | 45 | 35 | 17 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 27% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 10 | 2 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 56/102 | 46/76 | 25/49 | 127/227 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 61% | 51% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 45/56 | 35/46 | 17/25 | 97/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 76% | 68% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/46 | 18/30 | 13/24 | 50/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 60% | 54% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 1/3 | 6/13 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 46% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 3 | 4 | 19 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 50% | 192% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWWLLWWLWL Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger
- Radu AlbotAlbot – Alexander RitschardRitschard (1-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Alexander BlockxBlockx (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Henri SquireSquire (7-65 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cem IlkelIlkel – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Billy HarrisHarris – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
