Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina will square off in the final of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.32
Elena Rybakina -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Elena Rybakina
This will be the 5th time that Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Rybakina won 2-6 7-6(3) 2-2 ret. in the quarter in Rome back in 2023.
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Pole got to the final after beating Sorana Cirstea 6-1 6-1, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-1 6-4, Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-0 and Karolina Pliskova w/o.
In the semifinal, Swiatek defeated Pliskova (w/o). During the match, Swiatek and Pliskova scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 1 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Iga was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 61% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 81% of her matches (295-68). 10-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a composed143-38 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0.
The Pole has an aggregate 10-1 win-loss record in 2024, 10-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-19 | 37-13 | 9-3 | 8-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani got to the final after beating Lin Zhu 6-2 6-1, Emma Navarro 6-1 6-76 6-4, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-2 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Pavlyuchenkova (6-2 6-4). During the match Rybakina scored 73 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 59. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakina fired 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 70% of her first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Rybakina broke Pavlyuchenkova 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.
Elena has an overall 15-2 win-loss record in 2024, 15-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 81 |
| Pts | 181-114 | 305-232 |
| Total Points | 295 | 537 |
| Winners | 81 | 128 |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% |
Swiatek played 3 matches while Rybakina competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Elena Rybakina surrendered 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t lost a set so far. Swiatek has played 3 set(s) less than Rybakina (6 vs 9). Therefore, Swiatek played 34 games less than Rybakina. Swiatek scored 81 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Rybakina struck 128 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 107/151 | 172/259 |
| %1st in | 71% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 81/107 | 128/172 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 25/44 | 44/87 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 51% |
Swiatek struck 5 aces (1.7 per match). Rybakina recorded 26 aces (6.5 per match). Swiatek won 76% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 19 |
| Converted | 13/23 | 19/34 |
| % Converted | 57% | 56% |
| Conceded | 10 | 19 |
| Saved | 9 | 14 |
| % Saved | 90% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. Swiatek surrendered her serve once and she saved 90% of the break points that she conceded. Rybakina broke her opponents 19 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||
| R2 Cirstea |
R3 Alexandrova |
1/4 Azarenka |
1/2 Pliskova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-0 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | – | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 17 | 16 | – | 47 | |
| pts | 57-29 | 72-52 | 52-33 | – | 181-114 | |
| Total points | 86 | 124 | 85 | – | 295 | |
| Winners | 20 | 40 | 21 | – | 81 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 56% | 40% | – | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 5 | 0 | – | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | – | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/36 | 54/73 | 27/42 | – | 107/151 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 74% | 64% | – | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 40/54 | 21/27 | – | 81/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 74% | 78% | – | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/10 | 9/19 | 8/15 | – | 25/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 47% | 53% | – | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | – | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/6 | 5/6 | – | 13/23 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 50% | 83% | – | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 2 | – | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 8/8 | 1/2 | – | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | – | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | – | 1 | |
| Rybakina | ||||||
| R2 Zhu |
R3 Navarro |
1/4 Annie |
1/2 Pavlyuchenkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 6-76 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 30 | 18 | 18 | 81 | |
| pts | 57-32 | 103-86 | 72-55 | 73-59 | 305-232 | |
| Total points | 89 | 189 | 127 | 132 | 537 | |
| Winners | 26 | 39 | 27 | 36 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% | 38% | 49% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 30/42 | 55/85 | 34/56 | 53/76 | 172/259 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 65% | 61% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 39/55 | 27/34 | 36/53 | 128/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 71% | 79% | 68% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 15/30 | 10/22 | 12/23 | 44/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 50% | 45% | 52% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/10 | 5/11 | 4/6 | 19/34 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 60% | 45% | 67% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 4/6 | 8/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 67% | 89% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLWWLW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Doha
- Lukas RosolRosol – Aleksandr NedovesovNedovesov (4-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
