Jasmine Paolini and Anna Blinkova will face off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Kia Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.81
Anna Blinkova -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Anna Blinkova
This will be the 6th time that Jasmine Paolini and Anna Blinkova fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Blinkova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Blinkova won 6-2 3-6 6-2 in the final in Napoca back in 2022.
Highlights Anna Blinkova vs Jasmine Paolini – Napoca 16-October-2022
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-19 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Paolini reached the 3rd round after defeating Diana Shnaider 6-3 6-4 and Tatjana Maria 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Maria (6-2 6-3). During the match, Paolini scored 69 points vs Maria’s 49. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 83% of her first serves in, winning 73% (35/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (4/10) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Maria 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paolini hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Paolini has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (288-227). 3-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Paolini has an aggregate 94-82 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Italian has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Anna Blinkova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-29 | 14-15 | 2-8 | 6-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-28 | 15-15 | 10-7 | 3-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-29 | 7-8 | 16-10 | 21-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 15-24 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-14 | 4-10 | 4-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, Anna got to the 3rd round after defeating Cristina Bucsa 6-2 6-4 and Elena Rybakina 6-4 4-6 7-620.
In the 2nd round, Anna defeated Rybakina (6-4 4-6 7-620).During the match Blinkova scored less points (6) than Rybakina . In fact, the world no. 31 won 115 points vs Rybakina ‘s. That means that Blinkova was more focused during the important points. Blinkova was pretty aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about serving, Blinkova scored 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Anna Blinkova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Blinkova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 74% (57/77) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (14/47) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Rybakina 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Anna has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points she played.
Blinkova has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Blinkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 51 |
| Pts | 127-96 | 180-177 |
| Total Points | 223 | 357 |
| Winners | 61 | 91 |
| %Winners | 48% | 51% |
Both Paolini and Blinkova played 2 matches. At the moment, Anna Blinkova dropped 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paolini has played 1 set(s) less than Blinkova (4 vs 5). Therefore, Paolini played 15 games less than Blinkova. Paolini scored 61 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Anna recorded 91 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Blinkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 86/113 | 124/192 |
| %1st in | 76% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 61/86 | 91/124 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 24/68 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 35% |
Paolini scored 2 aces (1 per match). Blinkova blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Paolini won 71% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Blinkova won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 35% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Blinkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/12 | 8/13 |
| % Converted | 67% | 62% |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 57% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
The Italian broke her opponents 8 times with a 67% conversion rate. Jasmine surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Anna broke her opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | ||||
| R1 Shnaider |
R2 Maria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 36 | |
| pts | 58-47 | 69-49 | 127-96 | |
| Total points | 105 | 118 | 223 | |
| Winners | 26 | 35 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 51% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/55 | 48/58 | 86/113 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 83% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 26/38 | 35/48 | 61/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 73% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 4/10 | 12/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 40% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/7 | 8/12 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 57% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 80% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Blinkova | ||||
| R1 Bucsa |
R2 Rybakina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 4-6 7-620 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 33 | 51 | |
| pts | 65-56 | 115-121 | 180-177 | |
| Total points | 121 | 236 | 357 | |
| Winners | 34 | 57 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 50% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 47/68 | 77/124 | 124/192 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 62% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 57/77 | 91/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 74% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 14/47 | 24/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 30% | 35% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/6 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 83% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 2/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 29% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWLWW
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