Jelena Ostapenko and Victoria Azarenka will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.74
Victoria Azarenka -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Victoria Azarenka
This will be the 4th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Victoria Azarenka clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Azarenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Azarenka won 6-3 3-6 7-5 in the quarter in Brisbane back in January 2024.
Highlights Victoria Azarenka vs Jelena Ostapenko – Brisbane 05-January-2024
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-18 | 14-9 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Jelena got to the 3rd round after defeating Kimberly Birrell 7-65 6-1 and Ajla Tomljanovic 6-0 3-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Ostapenko defeated Tomljanovic (6-0 3-6 6-4). During the match, Ostapenko scored 82 points vs Tomljanovic’s 71. The Latvian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko scored 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 56% of her first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Tomljanovic 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelena has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (291-191). 9-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ostapenko has an aggregate 128-99 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Latvian has an overall 9-1 win-loss record in 2024, 9-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Victoria Azarenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-14 | 20-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 17-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-13 | 18-9 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-9 | 18-6 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-6 | 11-3 | 4-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Victoria reached the 3rd round after beating Camila Giorgi 6-1 4-6 6-3 and Clara Tauson 6-4 3-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Victoria defeated Tauson (6-4 3-6 6-2). During the match Azarenka scored 94 points vs Tauson’s 88. The Belarussian was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Azarenka was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 59% of her first serves in, winning 71% (34/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Tauson 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Victoria’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane.
Victoria has a composed 5-1 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, she won this tournament twice in 2012 and 2013. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 53 |
| Pts | 163-138 | 193-170 |
| Total Points | 301 | 363 |
| Winners | 63 | 72 |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% |
Both Ostapenko and Azarenka played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko lost 1 set, while Victoria Azarenka surrendered 2 sets. Ostapenko has played 1 set(s) less than Azarenka (5 vs 6). Therefore, Ostapenko played 8 games less than Azarenka. Ostapenko scored 63 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Victoria made 72 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 88/150 | 93/167 |
| %1st in | 59% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 63/88 | 72/93 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 32/62 | 33/74 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 45% |
Ostapenko managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Azarenka managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Ostapenko won 72% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/20 | 10/26 |
| % Converted | 45% | 38% |
| Conceded | 19 | 14 |
| Saved | 15 | 9 |
| % Saved | 79% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Ostapenko broke her opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Latvian dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded. Victoria broke her opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Victoria conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Birrell |
R2 Tomljanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-1 | 6-0 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 25 | 45 | |
| pts | 81-67 | 82-71 | 163-138 | |
| Total points | 148 | 153 | 301 | |
| Winners | 30 | 33 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 40/64 | 48/86 | 88/150 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 56% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 33/48 | 63/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 20/38 | 32/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 53% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 5/8 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 63% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 11 | 19 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 8/11 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 73% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Azarenka | ||||
| R1 Giorgi |
R2 Tauson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 27 | 53 | |
| pts | 99-82 | 94-88 | 193-170 | |
| Total points | 181 | 182 | 363 | |
| Winners | 38 | 34 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 45/85 | 48/82 | 93/167 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 59% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 38/45 | 34/48 | 72/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 71% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/40 | 17/34 | 33/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/14 | 10/26 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 36% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 3/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
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