H2H, prediction of Jessica Pegula vs Daria Kasatkina in Adelaide with odds, preview, pick | 12th January 2024

PREVIEW. Adelaide. Pegula and Kasatkina will square off in the semifinal of the Adelaide International. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 12th of January

Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Daria Kasatkina

Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the semifinal of the Adelaide International for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.32
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.4

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Daria Kasatkina

This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Pegula won 6-1 6-0 in the quarter in Tokyo back in 2023.

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula

3 - 1win/loss

Hard
3-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
7
High
3
LLLWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 5, Pegula got to the semifinal after defeating Bernarda Pera 4-6 6-2 6-3 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-71 7-5 6-4.

In the quarter against Pavlyuchenkova, Pegula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-71 7-5 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 108 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 107. Jessica was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pegula made 9 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 58% of her first serves in, winning 75% (50/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (22/48) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Pavlyuchenkova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pegula has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (301-166). 3-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has a composed 189-91 match record in the last years on hard.

The American has an aggregate 3-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Pegula
Adelaide
Pegula's Record

Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkina
Daria Kasatkina

4 - 1win/loss

Hard
4-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
9
High
8
LLWWWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 40-23 24-16 8-4 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0
2020 18-14 7-8 5-3 6-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 15, Kasatkina reached the semifinal after beating Claire Liu 6-4 6-3, Anna Kalinskaya 5-7 6-4 7-5 and Laura Siegemund w/o.

In the quarter, Darya defeated Siegemund (w/o). During the match Kasatkina and Siegemund scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 5 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Russian was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

Talking about serving, Kasatkina was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Daria Kasatkina conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Darya has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Darya has a composed 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2023. See her history.

Kasatkina
Adelaide
Kasatkina's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
D.Kasatkina
4h:38
4h:38
Time on court​
4h:38
4h:38
!
2h:26
2h:26
Last match​
!
2h:51
2h:51
2
2
Match played
2
2
62
62
Games Played​
53
53
6
6
Set played​​
5
5
219
219
Total points​
194
194
109.5
109.5
Avg point​
97
97
94
94
Winners
75
75
47
47
Avg Winners​
37.5
37.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
16
16
Aces
2
2
8
8
Avg Aces
1
1
9
9
Double Faults
12
12
4.5
4.5
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
94/135
94/135
1st won total​
75/122
75/122
70%
70%
1st won %
61%
61%
42/92
42/92
2nd won total​
19/55
19/55
46%
46%
2nd won %
!
35%
35%
-- Break Points --
11/29
11/29
BP won
14/31
14/31
5.5/14.5
5.5/14.5
Avg BP won
7/15.5
7/15.5
38%
38%
Won
45%
45%
26
26
Conceded
28
28
13
13
Avg Conceded
14
14
6
6
Broken
10
10
3
3
Avg Broken
!
5
5
20
20
Saved
18
18

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Kasatkina
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 5
Tot Games 62 53
Pts 219-209 194-180
Total Points 428 374
Winners 94 75
%Winners 43% 39%

Both Pegula and Kasatkina played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jessica Pegula surrendered 2 sets, while Daria Kasatkina lost 1 set. Pegula has played 1 set more than Kasatkina (6 vs 5). Therefore, Pegula played 9 games more than Kasatkina. The American scored 94 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 75 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Kasatkina
Aces 16 2
Avg per match 8 1
1st in 135/227 122/177
%1st in 59% 69%
1st pts 94/135 75/122
%1st pts 70% 61%
2nd pts 42/92 19/55
%2nd pts 46% 35%

Pegula scored 16 aces (8 per match). Kasatkina scored 2 aces (1 per match). Pegula won 70% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 35% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Kasatkina
Won 11 14
Converted 11/29 14/31
% Converted 38% 45%
Conceded 26 28
Saved 20 18
% Saved 77% 64%
Times Broken 6 10

The American broke her opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded. Kasatkina broke her opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R2
Pera
1/4
Pavlyuchenkova
Total
Score 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-71 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 27 35 62
pts 111-102 108-107 219-209
Total points 213 215 428
Winners 44 50 94
%Winners 40% 46% 43%
SERVE
Aces 7 9 16
Double Faults 4 5 9
1st in 68/112 67/115 135/227
% 1st in 61% 58% 59%
1st pts 44/68 50/67 94/135
% 1st pts 65% 75% 70%
2nd pts 20/44 22/48 42/92
% 2nd pts 45% 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 6 5 11
Converted 6/21 5/8 11/29
Converted % 29% 63% 38%
Conceded 13 13 26
Saved 10/13 10/13 20
Saved % 77% 77% 77%
Times Broken 3 3 6
Kasatkina
R1
Liu
R2
Kalinskaya
1/4
Siegemund
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-4 7-5 w/o
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 34 53
pts 77-65 117-115 194-180
Total points 142 232 374
Winners 28 47 75
%Winners 36% 40% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 2
Double Faults 5 7 12
1st in 41/64 81/113 122/177
% 1st in 64% 72% 69%
1st pts 28/41 47/81 75/122
% 1st pts 68% 58% 61%
2nd pts 9/23 10/32 19/55
% 2nd pts 39% 31% 35%
Breaks
Won 5 9 14
Converted 5/12 9/19 14/31
Converted % 42% 47% 45%
Conceded 8 20 28
Saved 6/8 12/20 18
Saved % 75% 60% 68%
Times Broken 2 8 10

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Pegula
LLLWLWWLWW
Kasatkina
LLWWWWWLWL
2024 2023 2022
39 - 16
40 - 23
29-9
Hard
24-16
4-2
Clay
8-4
6-3
Grass
8-2

Tennis Scores in Adelaide

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw