Roman Safiullin and Matteo Arnaldi will fight against each other in the quarter of the Brisbane International for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on SHOW COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roman Safiullin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roman Safiullin is the pick to win this match.
Roman Safiullin -> 1.54
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.48
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Prediction and head to head Roman Safiullin vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Roman Safiullin and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Roman Safiullin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-24 | 15-12 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 13-12 | 8-4 | 11-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-18 | 16-6 | 6-2 | 14-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 7-5 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-12 | 6-2 | 4-5 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 39 (career-high), Roman got to the quarter after defeating Ben Shelton 6-3 6-75 6-3 and Alexei Popyrin 6-79 6-4 7-63.
In the 2nd round against Popyrin, Roman recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-79 6-4 7-63). During the match, Safiullin scored 122 points vs Popyrin’s 112. Safiullin was exceptionally aggressive to blast 62 winners.
Regarding the service games, Safiullin overwhelmed his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Roman Safiullin was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (62/77) of his 1st serve and 59% (26/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Roman broke Popyrin twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Roman has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Safiullin has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (322-175). 2-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Safiullin has an aggregate 176-75 match record in the last years on hard.
The Russian has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-23 | 16-12 | 10-9 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 44, Arnaldi got to the quarter after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-75 6-4 7-67 and Lukas Klein 6-4 3-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Matteo defeated Klein (6-4 3-6 7-5). During the match Arnaldi scored 86 points vs Klein’s 81. Arnaldi was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi blasted 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was exceptionally effective on serve to win 84% (37/44) of his 1st serve and 58% (21/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Klein 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Safiullin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 67 |
| Pts | 228-204 | 197-193 |
| Total Points | 432 | 390 |
| Winners | 106 | 85 |
| %Winners | 46% | 43% |
Both Safiullin and Arnaldi played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Roman Safiullin conceded 2 sets, while Matteo Arnaldi lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Safiullin and Arnaldi have played the same amount of sets 6. They also played the same amount of games (67). The Russian scored 106 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 85 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Safiullin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 15.5 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 127/216 | 110/202 |
| %1st in | 59% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 106/127 | 85/110 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 54/89 | 60/92 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 65% |
Safiullin recorded 31 aces (15.5 per match). Arnaldi scored 15 aces (7.5 per match). Safiullin won 83% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Safiullin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/20 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 20% | 57% |
| Conceded | 19 | 6 |
| Saved | 18 | 4 |
| % Saved | 95% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Safiullin broke his opponents 4 times with a 20% conversion rate. Safiullin conceded his serve once and he saved 95% of the break points that he conceded. Arnaldi broke his opponents 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Safiullin | ||||
| R1 Shelton |
R2 Popyrin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-75 6-3 | 6-79 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 36 | 67 | |
| pts | 106-92 | 122-112 | 228-204 | |
| Total points | 198 | 234 | 432 | |
| Winners | 44 | 62 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 51% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 23 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 50/95 | 77/121 | 127/216 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 64% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 44/50 | 62/77 | 106/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 81% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/45 | 26/44 | 54/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 59% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | 2/9 | 4/20 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 22% | 20% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 14 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 13/14 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 93% | 97% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Arnaldi | ||||
| R1 Fucsovics |
R2 Klein |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-4 7-67 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 31 | 67 | |
| pts | 111-112 | 86-81 | 197-193 | |
| Total points | 223 | 167 | 390 | |
| Winners | 48 | 37 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 66/122 | 44/80 | 110/202 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 55% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 48/66 | 37/44 | 85/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 84% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 39/56 | 21/36 | 60/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 58% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 3/5 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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