Adrian Mannarino and Pavel Kotov will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Sofia Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.51
Pavel Kotov -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Pavel Kotov
There is no head to head record between Adrian Mannarino and Pavel Kotov since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-17 | 8-7 | 0-3 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Adrian got to the semifinal after beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-4 6-4 and Sebastian Ofner 6-77 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter against Ofner, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-77 6-4 6-3). During the match, Mannarino scored 114 points vs Ofner’s 100. The French player was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mannarino managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 67% of his first serves in, winning 65% (46/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (21/35) on the 2nd serve. Adrian broke Ofner 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has lost 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Mannarino has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (336-284). 13-4 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mannarino has a composed 85-65 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Newport where he overcame Alex Michelsen in the final 6-2 6-4 and in Astana where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.
Mannarino has an aggregate 42-29 win-loss record in 2023, 13-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Sofia
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 80 (career-high), Pavel reached the semifinal after defeating Alexandar Lazarov 3-6 6-1 6-2, Sebastian Baez 3-6 7-64 ret. and Marton Fucsovics 6-3 7-63.
In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Fucsovics (6-3 7-63). During the match Kotov scored 80 points vs Fucsovics’s 67. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Kotov managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Pavel Kotov was pretty effective on serve to win 71% (36/51) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Fucsovics twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pavel has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Kotov’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Braunschweig Challenger and Stockholm.
Pavel has an aggregate 45-31 win-loss record in 2023, 9-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 68 |
| Pts | 186-155 | 230-210 |
| Total Points | 341 | 440 |
| Winners | 74 | 105 |
| %Winners | 40% | 46% |
Mannarino played 2 matches while Kotov competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Adrian Mannarino conceded 1 set, while Pavel Kotov lost 2 sets. Mannarino has played 3 set(s) less than Kotov (5 vs 8). Therefore, Mannarino played 16 games less than Kotov. Mannarino scored 74 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 105 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 106/154 | 153/217 |
| %1st in | 69% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 74/106 | 105/153 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 28/48 | 32/64 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 50% |
Mannarino fired 17 aces (8.5 per match). Kotov scored 11 aces (3.7 per match). Mannarino won 70% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 9 |
| Converted | 9/26 | 9/21 |
| % Converted | 35% | 43% |
| Conceded | 9 | 17 |
| Saved | 4 | 11 |
| % Saved | 44% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
The French player broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Mannarino conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Kotov broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Kotov conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mannarino | ||||
| R2 Ramos-Vinolas |
1/4 Ofner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-77 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 | 52 | |
| pts | 72-55 | 114-100 | 186-155 | |
| Total points | 127 | 214 | 341 | |
| Winners | 28 | 46 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/48 | 71/106 | 106/154 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 46/71 | 74/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 65% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 21/35 | 28/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 60% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/16 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 31% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 57% | 29% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Kotov | |||||
| R1 Lazarov |
R2 Baez |
1/4 Fucsovics |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-2 | 3-6 7-64 ret. | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 22 | 22 | 68 | |
| pts | 85-76 | 65-67 | 80-67 | 230-210 | |
| Total points | 161 | 132 | 147 | 440 | |
| Winners | 38 | 31 | 36 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 48% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 59/79 | 43/61 | 51/77 | 153/217 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 70% | 66% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 38/59 | 31/43 | 36/51 | 105/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 72% | 71% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 6/18 | 15/26 | 32/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 33% | 58% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 40% | 100% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/5 | 7/8 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 40% | 88% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLLWLLW
LLLLLLWWWL Tennis Scores in Sofia
- Pavel KotovKotov – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Cem IlkelIlkel (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-77 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-63 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pavel KotovKotov – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
