Blake Ellis and Rio Noguchi will square off in the qualifications of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:30 am on Court 8. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rio Noguchi is the pick to win this match.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.48
Blake Ellis -> 2.52
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Prediction and head to head Blake Ellis vs. Rio Noguchi
There is no head to head record between Blake Ellis and Rio Noguchi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Blake Ellis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-30 | 41-26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-29 | 43-25 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-14 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 11-6 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 413, the Australian got to the qualifications after beating Jie Cui 6-1 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Cui (6-1 6-4). During the match, Ellis scored 61 points vs Cui’s 48. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ellis managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Blake Ellis lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ellis put 64% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. Ellis broke Cui 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Ellis has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 57% of his matches (170-130). 37-23 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ellis has an overall135-111 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Mysuru and M25 Darwin.
Blake has an aggregate 44-26 win-loss record in 2023, 37-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Ellis has never competed in this tournament before.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 422, Rio reached the qualifications after beating Kazuki Nishiwaki 6-2 7-5.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Nishiwaki (6-2 7-5). During the match Noguchi scored 74 points vs Nishiwaki’s 60. Rio was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Noguchi managed to score 3 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rio Noguchi lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 57% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Nishiwaki 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Rio has an overall 17-26 win-loss record in 2023, 12-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ellis | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 |
| Pts | 61-48 | 74-60 |
| Total Points | 109 | 134 |
| Winners | 26 | 23 |
| %Winners | 43% | 31% |
Both Ellis and Noguchi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ellis and Noguchi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Ellis played 3 games less than Noguchi. Blake scored 26 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 23 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ellis | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
| 1st in | 37/58 | 33/58 |
| %1st in | 64% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 23/33 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 14/25 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 56% |
Ellis blasted 6 aces . Noguchi bagged 3 aces . Ellis won 70% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Noguchi won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ellis | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 57% | 56% |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Saved | 5 | 1 |
| % Saved | 83% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Blake broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Noguchi broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Rio conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ellis | |||
| Q1 Cui |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 61-48 | 61-48 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/58 | 37/58 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 26/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Noguchi | |||
| Q1 Nishiwaki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 74-60 | 74-60 | |
| Total points | 134 | 134 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/58 | 33/58 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 23/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 14/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
LLLLLWWWWW 
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