H2H, prediction of Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek in Cancun with odds, preview, pick | 5th November 2023

PREVIEW. Cancun. Sabalenka and Swiatek will play each other in the semifinal of the WTA Finals. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Sunday the 5th of November

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek

Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek will square off in the semifinal of the WTA Finals for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:30 am on Estadio Paradisus. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.57
Aryna Sabalenka -> 2.41

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek

This will be the 9th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the final in Madrid back in May 2023.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek – Madrid 06-May-2023

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LLWWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Aryna got to the semifinal after defeating Maria Sakkari 6-0 6-1 and Elena Rybakina 6-2 3-6 6-3.

In the previous match, Sabalenka defeated Rybakina (6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 98 points vs Rybakina ‘s 93. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 6 aces and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 15 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 61% of her first serves in, winning 66% (44/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (19/43) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Rybakina 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aryna has dropped 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 68% of her matches (318-153). 35-8 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed189-84 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she defeated Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.

Sabalenka has a compiled 55-13 win-loss record in 2023, 35-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cancun

Sabalenka
Cancun
Sabalenka's Record

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek
Iga Swiatek

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Iga reached the semifinal after defeating Marketa Vondrousova 7-63 6-0, Cori Gauff 6-0 7-5 and Ons Jabeur 6-1 6-2.

In the previous match, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-1 6-2). During the match Swiatek scored 60 points vs Jabeur’s 34. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Swiatek scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Iga Swiatek was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (20/26) of her 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Iga broke Jabeur 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Doha where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4 and at the French Open where she beat Karolina Muchova in the final 6-2 5-7 6-4 and in Warsaw where she defeated Laura Siegemund in the final 6-0 6-1 and in Beijing where she defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-2 6-2.

Swiatek has a composed 66-11 win-loss record in 2023, 40-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Swiatek
Cancun
Swiatek's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
I.Swiatek
3h:41
3h:41
Time on court​
4h:15
4h:15
!
2h:27
2h:27
Last match​
1h:07
1h:07
3
3
Match played
3
3
58
58
Games Played​
52
52
7
7
Set played​​
6
6
160
160
Total points​
198
198
53.3
53.3
Avg point​
66
66
65
65
Winners
70
70
21.7
21.7
Avg Winners​
23.3
23.3
41%
41%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
5
5
4
4
Avg Aces
1.7
1.7
20
20
Double Faults
6
6
!
6.7
6.7
Avg Double Faults
2
2
65/93
65/93
1st won total​
70/103
70/103
70%
70%
1st won %
68%
68%
33/68
33/68
2nd won total​
36/65
36/65
49%
49%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
10/19
10/19
BP won
17/30
17/30
3.3/6.3
3.3/6.3
Avg BP won
5.7/10
5.7/10
!
53%
53%
Won
!
57%
57%
17
17
Conceded
13
13
5.7
5.7
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
3
3
Broken
6
6
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
14
14
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Swiatek
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 39 52
Pts 160-127 198-127
Total Points 287 325
Winners 65 70
%Winners 41% 35%

Sabalenka played 2 matches while Swiatek competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka lost 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Swiatek (5 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 13 games less than Swiatek. The Belarussian scored 65 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Iga struck 70 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Swiatek
Aces 12 5
Avg per match 6 1.7
1st in 93/161 103/168
%1st in 58% 61%
1st pts 65/93 70/103
%1st pts 70% 68%
2nd pts 33/68 36/65
%2nd pts 49% 55%

Sabalenka fired 12 aces (6 per match). Swiatek scored 5 aces (1.7 per match). Sabalenka won 70% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Swiatek won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Swiatek
Won 10 17
Converted 10/19 17/30
% Converted 53% 57%
Conceded 17 13
Saved 14 7
% Saved 82% 54%
Times Broken 3 6

Sabalenka broke her opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Belarussian lost her serve 3 times and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded. Swiatek broke her opponents 17 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
Round Robin
Rybakina
Round Robin
Pegula
Round Robin
Sakkari
Total
Score 6-2 3-6 6-3 6-4 6-3 6-0 6-1
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 26 19 13 58
pts 98-93 62-34 160-127
Total points 191 0 96 287
Winners 44 21 65
%Winners 45% 0% 34% 41%
SERVE
Aces 6 0 6 12
Double Faults 15 5 20
1st in 67/110 / 26/51 93/161
% 1st in 61% 0% 51% 58%
1st pts 44/67 / 21/26 65/93
% 1st pts 66% 0% 81% 70%
2nd pts 19/43 / 14/25 33/68
% 2nd pts 44% 0% 56% 49%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/10 / 5/9 10/19
Converted % 50% 0% 56% 53%
Conceded 12 5 17
Saved 9/12 0/ 5/5 14
Saved % 75% 100% 58%
Times Broken 3 0 3
Swiatek
Round Robin
Jabeur
Round Robin
Gauff
Round Robin
Vondrousova
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-0 7-5 7-63 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 15 18 19 52
pts 60-34 69-47 69-46 198-127
Total points 94 116 115 325
Winners 20 28 22 70
%Winners 33% 41% 32% 35%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 3 5
Double Faults 1 2 3 6
1st in 26/48 41/56 36/64 103/168
% 1st in 54% 73% 56% 61%
1st pts 20/26 28/41 22/36 70/103
% 1st pts 77% 68% 61% 68%
2nd pts 13/22 7/15 16/28 36/65
% 2nd pts 59% 47% 57% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 6 6 17
Converted 5/10 6/10 6/10 17/30
Converted % 50% 60% 60% 57%
Conceded 5 3 5 13
Saved 4/5 1/3 2/5 7
Saved % 80% 33% 40% 51%
Times Broken 1 2 3 6

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sabalenka
LLWWWWWWWL
Swiatek
WWWWLWLWWW
2024 2023 2022
56 - 14
64 - 9
38-7
Hard
29-5
2-2
I Hard
7-1
15-4
Clay
26-2
1-1
Grass
2-1
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw