Andrey Rublev and Alex De Minaur will clash against each other in the quarter of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.48
Alex De Minaur -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 5th time that Andrey Rublev and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, De Minaur won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Rotterdam back in February 2023.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Andrey Rublev – Rotterdam 15-February-2023
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-25 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Andrey reached the quarter after defeating Yoshihito Nishioka 6-4 6-3 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Van De Zandschulp (6-3 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 58 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 42. Rublev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev made 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Andrey Rublev was very efficient on serve to win 88% (28/32) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rublev broke Van De Zandschulp 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (417-227). 5-3 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has an overall 125-64 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Carlo where he beat Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
Rublev has a compiled 55-22 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-19 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-7 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Alex reached the quarter after beating Andy Murray 7-65 4-6 7-5, Dusan Lajovic 4-6 6-4 6-4 and Jannik Sinner w/o.
In the 3rd round, The Australian defeated Sinner (w/o). During the match De Minaur and Sinner scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 5 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. De Minaur was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex De Minaur conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Acapulco where he overcame Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.
The Australian has an overall 44-24 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019, 2020 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 65 |
| Pts | 116-88 | 206-196 |
| Total Points | 204 | 402 |
| Winners | 60 | 86 |
| %Winners | 52% | 42% |
Both Rublev and De Minaur played 2 matches. At the moment, Alex De Minaur surrendered 2 sets while Andrey Rublev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than De Minaur (4 vs 6). Therefore, Rublev played 28 games less than De Minaur. Andrey scored 60 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Alex blasted 86 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 65/103 | 116/205 |
| %1st in | 63% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 60/65 | 86/116 |
| %1st pts | 92% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 19/38 | 43/89 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 48% |
Rublev recorded 16 aces (8 per match). De Minaur bagged 17 aces (8.5 per match). Rublev won 92% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 8/12 |
| % Converted | 71% | 67% |
| Conceded | 2 | 18 |
| Saved | 2 | 11 |
| % Saved | 100% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 7 |
Andrey broke his opponents 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Russian quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Australian broke his opponents 8 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R2 Nishioka |
R3 Van De Zandschulp |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 37 | |
| pts | 58-46 | 58-42 | 116-88 | |
| Total points | 104 | 100 | 204 | |
| Winners | 32 | 28 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 48% | 52% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/53 | 32/50 | 65/103 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/33 | 28/32 | 60/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 97% | 88% | 92% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 10/18 | 19/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 56% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/4 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Murray |
R2 Lajovic |
R3 Sinner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 4-6 7-5 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | – | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 30 | – | 65 | |
| pts | 107-112 | 99-84 | – | 206-196 | |
| Total points | 219 | 183 | – | 402 | |
| Winners | 44 | 42 | – | 86 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% | – | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 10 | – | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | – | 4 | |
| 1st in | 64/112 | 52/93 | – | 116/205 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 56% | – | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 44/64 | 42/52 | – | 86/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 81% | – | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/48 | 22/41 | – | 43/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 54% | – | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | – | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/6 | – | 8/12 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | – | 67% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 | – | 18 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 5/7 | – | 11 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 71% | – | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | – | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWLWL
LLLLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Paris
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jannik SinnerSinner (w/o) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexander BublikBublik (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jannik SinnerSinner (w/o) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexander BublikBublik (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andrey RublevRublev (3-1) – H2H and prediction
