Aryna Sabalenka and Katie Boulter will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 12:30 pm on DIAMOND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.141
Katie Boulter -> 5.7
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Katie Boulter
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Katie Boulter square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2021.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Katie Boulter – Wimbledon 30-June-2021
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka got to the 2nd round after beating Sofia Kenin 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Kenin (6-1 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 61 points vs Kenin’s 28. Sabalenka was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was very effective on serve to win 96% (22/23) of her 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Kenin 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 68% of her matches (314-151). 31-6 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an overall185-82 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
Sabalenka has an aggregate 51-11 win-loss record in 2023, 31-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Katie Boulter
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-23 | 24-12 | 3-6 | 3-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-20 | 22-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10-4 | 4-0 |
| 2022 | 29-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 16-7 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-15 | 12-9 | 5-1 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-8 | 10-6 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 56, the Brit got to the 2nd round after beating Zhuoxuan Bai 6-2 6-2, Kamilla Rakhimova 6-1 6-1 and Magdalena Frech 6-4 3-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Brit defeated Frech (6-4 3-6 6-2). During the match Boulter scored 94 points vs Frech’s 81. Boulter was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Boulter blasted 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Katie Boulter lost the serve 5 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Boulter put 64% of her first serves in, winning 72% (41/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 28% (9/32) on the 2nd serve. Boulter broke Frech 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W60 Canberra where she defeated Jodie Anna Burrage in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2 and in Nottingham where she defeated Jodie Anna Burrage in the final 6-3 6-3.
Boulter has an overall 38-18 win-loss record in 2023, 22-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 57 |
| Pts | 61-28 | 215-149 |
| Total Points | 89 | 364 |
| Winners | 22 | 84 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Boulter competed in 3 matches. Boulter started her run from the qualifications while Sabalenka had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Katie Boulter lost 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 5 set(s) less than Boulter (2 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 42 games less than Boulter. The Belarussian scored 22 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit recorded 84 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 23/39 | 120/187 |
| %1st in | 59% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 22/23 | 84/120 |
| %1st pts | 96% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 25/67 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 37% |
Sabalenka made 5 aces . Boulter scored 6 aces (2 per match). Sabalenka won 96% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Boulter won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 20 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 20/36 |
| % Converted | 44% | 56% |
| Conceded | 0 | 26 |
| Saved | 0 | 17 |
| % Saved | 0% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 9 |
The Belarussian broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Belarussian had a solid display on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Boulter broke her opponents 20 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Brit conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R1 Kenin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 61-28 | 61-28 | |
| Total points | 89 | 89 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 23/39 | 23/39 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 22/23 | 22/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 96% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 11/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Boulter | |||||
| Q1 Bai |
Q3 Rakhimova |
R1 Frech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 14 | 27 | 57 | |
| pts | 66-41 | 55-27 | 94-81 | 215-149 | |
| Total points | 107 | 82 | 175 | 364 | |
| Winners | 24 | 19 | 41 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 44% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 40/61 | 23/37 | 57/89 | 120/187 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 62% | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/40 | 19/23 | 41/57 | 84/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 83% | 72% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 7/14 | 9/32 | 25/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 50% | 28% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 6/13 | 7/13 | 20/36 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 46% | 54% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 16 | 26 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 1/2 | 11/16 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 50% | 69% | 182% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Yue YuanYuan (2-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Daria SavilleSaville (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Linda NoskovaNoskova (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jennifer BradyBrady (3-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Petra KvitovaKvitova (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Katie BoulterBoulter (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tatjana MariaMaria – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Caroline GarciaGarcia (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction
