Holger Rune and Grigor Dimitrov will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 7:30 pm on DIAMOND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.85
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.952
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Grigor Dimitrov square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rune won 3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 4th round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2023.
Highlights Holger Rune vs Grigor Dimitrov – Wimbledon 10-July-2023
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-23 | 21-11 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Holger got to the 2nd round after beating Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Holger had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-4 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 61 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 47. The Dane was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Holger Rune was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (28/32) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Dane broke Auger-Aliassime twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (200-99). 10-8 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has a compiled30-28 record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Munich where he beat Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).
Rune has a compiled 38-17 win-loss record in 2023, 10-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
The Dane has never competed in this tournament before.
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Dimitrov got to the 2nd round after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 7-64 6-1.
In the 1st round against Mcdonald, Dimitrov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-64 6-1). During the match Dimitrov scored 91 points vs Mcdonald’s 81. Dimitrov was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Dimitrov fired 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 68% of his first serves in, winning 63% (36/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. Grigor broke Mcdonald 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
The Bulgarian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Geneva.
Grigor has an aggregate 32-17 win-loss record in 2023, 11-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 28 |
| Pts | 61-47 | 91-81 |
| Total Points | 108 | 172 |
| Winners | 28 | 36 |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% |
Both Rune and Dimitrov played 1 match. At the moment, Grigor Dimitrov lost 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rune has played 1 set(s) less than Dimitrov (2 vs 3). Therefore, Rune played 8 games less than Dimitrov. Rune scored 28 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov managed to score 36 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6 |
| 1st in | 32/52 | 57/84 |
| %1st in | 62% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 36/57 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 14/27 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 52% |
Rune fired 7 aces . Dimitrov struck 6 aces . Rune won 88% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/4 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Dane broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Rune pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Dimitrov broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Dimitrov conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | |||
| R1 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 61-47 | 61-47 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/52 | 32/52 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 28/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 13/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Dimitrov | |||
| R1 Mcdonald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 91-81 | 91-81 | |
| Total points | 172 | 172 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 57/84 | 57/84 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 36/57 | 36/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 14/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWL
LWWLWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-74 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
