Lorenzo Musetti and Roman Safiullin will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Chengdu Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 5:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.833
Roman Safiullin -> 1.98
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Roman Safiullin
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Roman Safiullin play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Safiullin (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Safiullin won 7-5 6-4 in the 1st round in the Bergamo Challenger back in 2019.
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-22 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Lorenzo reached the semifinal after defeating Philip Sekulic 7-63 6-74 6-0 and Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Rinderknech (6-3 6-3). During the match, Musetti scored 63 points vs Rinderknech’s 48. Musetti was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Musetti scored just 1 ace and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti was very effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Musetti broke Rinderknech 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Musetti has a winning record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (173-124). 9-7 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed36-31 record in the last 6 years on hard.
Lorenzo’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Australia.
Musetti has an aggregate 31-22 win-loss record in 2023, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Chengdu
Lorenzo has never competed in this tournament before.
Roman Safiullin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-20 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 18-14 | 5-8 | 6-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 13-12 | 8-4 | 11-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-18 | 16-6 | 6-2 | 14-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 7-5 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 55, the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-4, Daniel Evans 6-3 6-3 and Jordan Thompson 7-61 ret..
In the quarter against Thompson, the Russian had a free pass after Thompson retired on a 7-61 . scoreline.
The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Koblenz Challenger.
Roman has a compiled 33-20 win-loss record in 2023, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 51 |
| Pts | 170-139 | 168-142 |
| Total Points | 309 | 310 |
| Winners | 62 | 83 |
| %Winners | 36% | 49% |
Musetti played 2 matches while Safiullin competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 1 set while Roman Safiullin hasn’t lost a set so far. Musetti has played 1 set(s) less than Safiullin (5 vs 6). Therefore, Musetti played 1 game less than Safiullin. Musetti scored 62 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Safiullin made 83 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 4 |
| 1st in | 82/144 | 106/159 |
| %1st in | 57% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 62/82 | 83/106 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 38/62 | 29/53 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 55% |
Musetti blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Safiullin made 12 aces (4 per match). Musetti won 76% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Safiullin won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 6 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 41% | 60% |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Saved | 0 | 7 |
| % Saved | 0% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Musetti broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Safiullin broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | ||||
| R2 Sekulic |
1/4 Rinderknech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-74 6-0 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 18 | 50 | |
| pts | 107-91 | 63-48 | 170-139 | |
| Total points | 198 | 111 | 309 | |
| Winners | 38 | 24 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 1 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 52/93 | 30/51 | 82/144 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 59% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 38/52 | 24/30 | 62/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 80% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/41 | 14/21 | 38/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 67% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 3/7 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 43% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Safiullin | |||||
| R1 Nakashima |
R2 Evans |
1/4 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-61 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 13 | 51 | |
| pts | 62-51 | 60-48 | 46-43 | 168-142 | |
| Total points | 113 | 108 | 89 | 310 | |
| Winners | 28 | 27 | 28 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 61% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 38/58 | 34/46 | 106/159 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 66% | 74% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/34 | 27/38 | 28/34 | 83/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 71% | 82% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 11/20 | 5/12 | 29/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 55% | 42% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | 0% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 4/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWLLW
LWLLWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Chengdu
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (5-7 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco Cabral/Rafael MatosCabral/Rafael Matos – Alexander Bublik/Miomir KecmanovicBublik/Miomir Kecmanovic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-61 ret.) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-0) – H2H and prediction
