Mai Hontama and Sara Saito will face off in the qualifications of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Show Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mai Hontama who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mai Hontama is the pick to win this match.
Mai Hontama -> 1.25
Sara Saito -> 3.65
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Prediction and head to head Mai Hontama vs. Sara Saito
There is no head to head record between Mai Hontama and Sara Saito since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Mai Hontama
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-30 | 24-23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-28 | 38-18 | 6-5 | 9-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-25 | 25-15 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 32-12 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 143, Mai reached the qualifications after beating Saki Imamura 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Mai had a good straight sets win against Imamura (6-3 6-3). During the match, Hontama scored 60 points vs Imamura’s 43. Hontama was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Hontama couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Mai Hontama lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Hontama put 77% of her first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Mai broke Imamura 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Hontama has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 62% of her matches (218-134). 27-12 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Hontama has a compiled162-94 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title the W40 Maribor where she overcame Clara Tauson in the final 6-4 3-6 6-4.
Mai has an overall 40-20 win-loss record in 2023, 27-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Sara Saito
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-16 | 21-12 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-14 | 13-10 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 8-1 |
| 2022 | 13-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 3-1 | 4-1 |
Ranked no. 448, Saito got to the qualifications after defeating Nicole Melichar 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Saito had a good straight sets win against Melichar (6-3 6-2). During the match Saito scored 66 points vs Melichar’s 48. Sara was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Saito scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Sara Saito lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Saito put 81% of her first serves in, winning 74% (29/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (4/9) on the 2nd serve. Saito broke Melichar 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Saito has a compiled 17-10 win-loss record in 2023, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Saito has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hontama | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 |
| Pts | 60-43 | 66-48 |
| Total Points | 103 | 114 |
| Winners | 27 | 29 |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% |
Both Hontama and Saito played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Hontama and Saito have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Hontama played 1 game more than Saito. Hontama scored 27 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Sara managed to score 29 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hontama | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1 |
| 1st in | 40/52 | 39/48 |
| %1st in | 77% | 81% |
| 1st pts | 27/40 | 29/39 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 4/9 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 44% |
Hontama didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Saito managed to score 1 ace . Hontama won 68% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Saito won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hontama | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 63% | 45% |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Mai broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Hontama surrendered her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Japanese broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Sara conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Hontama | |||
| Q1 Imamura |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 60-43 | 60-43 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/52 | 40/52 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 27/40 | 27/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Saito | |||
| Q1 Melichar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 66-48 | 66-48 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/48 | 39/48 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 81% | |
| 1st pts | 29/39 | 29/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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