Tennys Sandgren and Thai Kwiatkowski will play each other in the 2nd round of the Cary 2 Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:30 pm on COURT 15. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tennys Sandgren who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tennys Sandgren is the pick to win this match.
Tennys Sandgren -> 1.833
Thai Kwiatkowski -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Tennys Sandgren vs. Thai Kwiatkowski
This will be the 3rd time that Tennys Sandgren and Thai Kwiatkowski clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sandgren (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sandgren won 6-4 6-1 in the qualifications in Eastbourne back in 2019.
Tennys Sandgren
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-9 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-25 | 20-19 | 0-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-23 | 19-11 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-24 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 196, Sandgren reached the 2nd round after beating Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-2 4-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Tennys defeated Pablo Ficovich (6-2 4-6 6-3). During the match, Sandgren scored 90 points vs Pablo Ficovich’s 68. Tennys was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sandgren managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Tennys Sandgren was extremely efficient on serve to win 85% (41/48) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sandgren broke Pablo Ficovich 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Sandgren has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (281-224). 17-15 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sandgren has a compiled 166-124 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Tennys’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Cleveland Challenger,the Bloomfield Hills Challenger and the Lexington Challenger.
Tennys has an overall 20-18 win-loss record in 2023, 17-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary 2 Challenger
Thai Kwiatkowski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-19 | 19-8 | 1-7 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 23-15 | 7-3 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-24 | 5-9 | 9-6 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-9 | 11-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 464, Kwiatkowski got to the 2nd round after beating Jibril Nettles 6-4 6-2, Keegan Smith 7-64 6-4 and William Jansen 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Jansen (6-4 6-3). During the match Kwiatkowski scored 61 points vs Jansen’s 46. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Kwiatkowski bagged 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Thai Kwiatkowski was extremely efficient on serve to win 89% (25/28) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kwiatkowski broke Jansen 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Thai’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Sunrise.
The American has an overall 21-16 win-loss record in 2023, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sandgren | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 60 |
| Pts | 90-68 | 206-168 |
| Total Points | 158 | 374 |
| Winners | 41 | 79 |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% |
Sandgren played 1 match while Kwiatkowski competed in 3 matches. Kwiatkowski started his run from the qualifications while Sandgren had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Tennys Sandgren surrendered 1 set while Thai Kwiatkowski hasn’t lost a set so far. Sandgren has played 3 set(s) less than Kwiatkowski (3 vs 6). Therefore, Sandgren played 33 games less than Kwiatkowski. Sandgren scored 41 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 79 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sandgren | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 48/73 | 95/179 |
| %1st in | 66% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 41/48 | 79/95 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 49/84 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 58% |
Sandgren struck 9 aces . Kwiatkowski made 19 aces (6.3 per match). Sandgren won 85% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Kwiatkowski won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sandgren | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 9/19 |
| % Converted | 43% | 47% |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 67% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Tennys broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Tennys lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Thai broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sandgren | |||
| R1 Pablo Ficovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 90-68 | 90-68 | |
| Total points | 158 | 158 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 48/73 | 48/73 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 41/48 | 41/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 16/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kwiatkowski | |||||
| Q1 Nettles |
Q3 Smith |
R1 Jansen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-64 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 23 | 19 | 60 | |
| pts | 68-48 | 77-74 | 61-46 | 206-168 | |
| Total points | 116 | 151 | 107 | 374 | |
| Winners | 24 | 30 | 25 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% | 41% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 9 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 7 | 2 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 29/50 | 38/82 | 28/47 | 95/179 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 46% | 60% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 30/38 | 25/28 | 79/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 79% | 89% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 23/44 | 13/19 | 49/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 52% | 68% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/7 | 3/6 | 9/19 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 9/11 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 82% | – | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWWLW
LWLLLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Cary 2 Challenger
- Guido AndreozziAndreozzi – Christian HarrisonHarrison (6-1 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Toby SamuelSamuel – Illya MarchenkoMarchenko (7-5 6-76 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zachary SvajdaSvajda – Garrett JohnsJohns (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex MichelsenAlex – Strong KirchheimerStrong (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Guido AndreozziAndreozzi – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thai KwiatkowskiKwiatkowski – Tennys SandgrenSandgren (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – Patrick KypsonKypson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Vives MarcosVives Marcos – Bernard TomicTomic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Christian LangmoLangmo (3-0) – H2H and prediction
