Tao Mu and Yan Bai will face off in the 1st round of the Shanghai Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yan Bai who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yan Bai is the pick to win this match.
Yan Bai -> 1.25
Tao Mu -> 3.65
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Prediction and head to head Tao Mu vs. Yan Bai
There is no head to head record between Tao Mu and Yan Bai since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Tao Mu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-32 | 26-28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-30 | 46-26 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-8 | 19-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 586, the Chinese reached the 1st round after beating Stefanos Sakellaridis 7-5 ret. and Matthew Christopher Romios 6-4 6-0.
In the qualifications, Tao had a good straight sets win against Christopher Romios (6-4 6-0). During the match, Mu scored 55 points vs Christopher Romios’s 28. Mu was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mu recorded 3 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Tao Mu was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (22/25) of his 1st serve and 91% (10/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tao broke Christopher Romios 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Mu has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (110-74). 25-21 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mu has a compiled93-63 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Tao’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.
Mu has an overall 28-24 win-loss record in 2023, 25-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shanghai Challenger
The Chinese has never competed in this tournament before.
Yan Bai
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-10 | 29-9 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-16 | 42-13 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 679, Bai reached the 1st round after defeating Yusuke Takahashi 6-2 6-4 and Alexey Zakharov 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Yan had a good straight sets win against Zakharov (6-3 6-3). During the match Bai scored 65 points vs Zakharov’s 42. Yan was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Bai made 2 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Yan Bai was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 82% (23/28) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Bai broke Zakharov 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bai started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.
Yan’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Tianjin.
Bai has a compiled 31-8 win-loss record in 2023, 29-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mu | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 36 |
| Pts | 94-59 | 136-96 |
| Total Points | 153 | 232 |
| Winners | 42 | 54 |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% |
Both Mu and Bai played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mu and Bai have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Mu played 8 games less than Bai. The Chinese scored 42 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Bai recorded 54 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mu | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 53/73 | 65/94 |
| %1st in | 73% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 42/53 | 54/65 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 16/20 | 17/29 |
| %2nd pts | 80% | 59% |
Mu blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Bai managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Mu won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 80% of the points. On the other side, Bai won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mu | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 7/16 |
| % Converted | 60% | 44% |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Saved | 6 | 2 |
| % Saved | 86% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Chinese broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Chinese lost his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mu | ||||
| Q1 Sakellaridis |
Q3 Christopher |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 ret. | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 16 | 28 | |
| pts | 39-31 | 55-28 | 94-59 | |
| Total points | 70 | 83 | 153 | |
| Winners | 20 | 22 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 40% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 28/37 | 25/36 | 53/73 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 69% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 20/28 | 22/25 | 42/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 88% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/9 | 10/11 | 16/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 91% | 80% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/6 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/0 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Bai | ||||
| Q1 Takahashi |
Q3 Zakharov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 36 | |
| pts | 71-54 | 65-42 | 136-96 | |
| Total points | 125 | 107 | 232 | |
| Winners | 31 | 23 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 35% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 37/51 | 28/43 | 65/94 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 65% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 23/28 | 54/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 11/15 | 17/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 73% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/9 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWW
LWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Shanghai Challenger
- Juncheng ShangShang – Robert StrombachsStrombachs (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominik PalanPalan – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Fajing SunSun (7-65 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Rigele TeTe (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dane SweenySweeny – Mukund SasikumarSasikumar (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Hanyi LiuLiu (6-1 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Hiroki MoriyaMoriya (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip PeliwoPeliwo – Marc PolmansPolmans (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Luke SavilleSaville (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Omar JasikaJasika (6-3 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Alex BoltBolt (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Li TuTu – Philip SekulicSekulic (6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Filip PeliwoPeliwo – Li TuTu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nam Hoang LyHoang Ly – Nick ChappellChappell (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Antoine BellierBellier – Arjun KadheKadhe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tao MuMu – Yan BaiBai (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alafia AyeniAyeni – Mikalai HaliakHaliak (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dane SweenySweeny – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
