H2H, prediction of Cori Gauff vs Elise Mertens at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 1st September 2023

PREVIEW. New York. Gauff and Mertens will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 1st of September

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Elise Mertens

Cori Gauff and Elise Mertens will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.158
Elise Mertens -> 5.3

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Elise Mertens

This will be the 3rd time that Cori Gauff and Elise Mertens face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Gauff won 6-4 6-0 in the 4th round in at the French Open back in 2022.

Highlights Cori Gauff vs Elise Mertens – French Open 29-May-2022

Cori Gauff

Cori Gauff
Cori Gauff

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 6, Cori got to the 3rd round after beating Laura Siegemund 3-6 6-2 6-4 and Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Andreeva (6-3 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 65 points vs Andreeva’s 38. Gauff was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gauff scored just 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Cori Gauff was very effective on serve to win 81% (22/27) of her 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Andreeva 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cori has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Gauff has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 67% of her matches (164-79). 29-6 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gauff has an overall88-45 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Auckland where she defeated Rebeka Masarova in the final 6-1 6-1 and in Washington where she beat Maria Sakkari in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Cincinnati where she beat Karolina Muchova in the final 6-3 6-4.

The American has a composed 40-13 win-loss record in 2023, 29-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Gauff
U.S. Open
Gauff's Record

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
20
High
12
LWWLLLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-20 17-13 6-5 5-0 8-2 0-0
2024 28-25 18-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 32, the Belgian reached the 3rd round after beating Mirjam Bjorklund 3-6 6-3 7-63 and Danielle Rose Collins 3-6 7-67 6-1.

In the 2nd round against Collins, Elise recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-67 6-1). During the match Mertens scored 104 points vs Collins’s 103. The Belgian was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Mertens fired 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 3 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 60% of her first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Mertens broke Collins 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mertens has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points she played.

The Belgian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Monterrey.

Elise has an overall 22-17 win-loss record in 2023, 16-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2019 and 2020. See her history.

Mertens
U.S. Open
Mertens's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Gauff
E.Mertens
4h:07
4h:07
Time on court​
5h:59
5h:59
1h:16
1h:16
Last match​
!
2h:45
2h:45
2
2
Match played
2
2
44
44
Games Played​
60
60
5
5
Set played​​
6
6
166
166
Total points​
226
226
83
83
Avg point​
113
113
52
52
Winners
75
75
26
26
Avg Winners​
37.5
37.5
31%
31%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
12
12
4
4
Avg Aces
6
6
5
5
Double Faults
17
17
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
!
8.5
8.5
52/67
52/67
1st won total​
75/106
75/106
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
34/64
34/64
2nd won total​
32/80
32/80
53%
53%
2nd won %
40%
40%
-- Break Points --
9/19
9/19
BP won
10/32
10/32
4.5/9.5
4.5/9.5
Avg BP won
5/16
5/16
47%
47%
Won
31%
31%
10
10
Conceded
24
24
5
5
Avg Conceded
12
12
5
5
Broken
8
8
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
4
4
5
5
Saved
16
16
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gauff Mertens
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 44 60
Pts 166-129 226-226
Total Points 295 452
Winners 52 75
%Winners 31% 33%

Both Gauff and Mertens played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff lost 1 set, while Elise Mertens dropped 2 sets. Gauff has played 1 set(s) less than Mertens (5 vs 6). Therefore, Gauff played 16 games less than Mertens. The American scored 52 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Elise made 75 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gauff Mertens
Aces 8 12
Avg per match 4 6
1st in 67/131 106/186
%1st in 51% 57%
1st pts 52/67 75/106
%1st pts 78% 71%
2nd pts 34/64 32/80
%2nd pts 53% 40%

Gauff made 8 aces (4 per match). Mertens fired 12 aces (6 per match). Gauff won 78% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gauff Mertens
Won 9 10
Converted 9/19 10/32
% Converted 47% 31%
Conceded 10 24
Saved 5 16
% Saved 50% 67%
Times Broken 5 8

Gauff broke her opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Gauff conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Elise broke her opponents 10 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Gauff
R1
Siegemund		 R2
Andreeva		 Total
Score 3-6 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 27 17 44
pts 101-91 65-38 166-129
Total points 192 103 295
Winners 30 22 52
%Winners 30% 34% 31%
SERVE
Aces 7 1 8
Double Faults 3 2 5
1st in 40/83 27/48 67/131
% 1st in 48% 56% 51%
1st pts 30/40 22/27 52/67
% 1st pts 75% 81% 78%
2nd pts 21/43 13/21 34/64
% 2nd pts 49% 62% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/14 4/5 9/19
Converted % 36% 80% 47%
Conceded 7 3 10
Saved 3/7 2/3 5
Saved % 43% 67% 55%
Times Broken 4 1 5
Mertens
R1
Bjorklund		 R2
Collins		 Total
Score 3-6 6-3 7-63 3-6 7-67 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 31 29 60
pts 122-123 104-103 226-226
Total points 245 207 452
Winners 39 36 75
%Winners 32% 35% 33%
SERVE
Aces 6 6 12
Double Faults 12 5 17
1st in 53/98 53/88 106/186
% 1st in 54% 60% 57%
1st pts 39/53 36/53 75/106
% 1st pts 74% 68% 71%
2nd pts 15/45 17/35 32/80
% 2nd pts 33% 49% 40%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/19 5/13 10/32
Converted % 26% 38% 31%
Conceded 12 12 24
Saved 7/12 9/12 16
Saved % 58% 75% 67%
Times Broken 5 3 8

Head 2 Head

Cori Gauff
  • 2Slam
  • 12Main
  • 0ITF
  • 0Minor
Elise Mertens
  • 0Slam
  • 10Main
  • 4ITF
  • 7Minor

Cori
Gauff

4:1

Elise
Mertens

Rank

3

High

2

2Hard1

1Clay0

1Grass0

Rank

20

High

12

Win Loss
Gauff
LWLWWWWWLW
Mertens
LWWLLLWWLW
2025 2024 2023
48 - 16
36 - 20
29-9
Hard
17-13
1-2
I Hard
5-0
18-3
Clay
6-5
0-2
Grass
8-2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Gauff Cori Gauff
More Stats
Click here
Mertens
Elise Mertens