Qinwen Zheng and Kaia Kanepi will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 13. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.27
Kaia Kanepi -> 3.78
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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Kaia Kanepi
There is no head to head record between Qinwen Zheng and Kaia Kanepi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 38-8 | 3-3 | 26-3 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, the Chinese reached the 2nd round after beating Nadia Podoroska 6-1 6-0.
In the 1st round, Qinwen had a good straight sets win against Podoroska (6-1 6-0). During the match, Zheng scored 55 points vs Podoroska’s 26. Zheng was exceptionally aggressive to blast 13 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zheng fired 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Qinwen Zheng was pretty efficient on serve to win 87% (13/15) of her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Zheng broke Podoroska 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Zheng has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 69% of her matches (165-74). 15-9 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Zheng has an aggregate78-41 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Palermo where she beat Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-4 1-6 6-1.
Zheng has an aggregate 26-16 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Kaia Kanepi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-22 | 6-10 | 11-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-19 | 15-11 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-14 | 16-8 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-5 | 1-3 | 6-1 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 133, Kaia reached the 2nd round after beating Barbora Strycova 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Estonian had a good straight sets win against Strycova (6-4 6-4). During the match Kanepi scored 72 points vs Strycova’s 60. Kaia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Kanepi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Kaia Kanepi was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (23/32) of her 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Kanepi broke Strycova 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W60 Amstelveen where she beat Lola Radivojevic in the final 6-2 7-6(5).
The Estonian has an overall 17-19 win-loss record in 2023, 6-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2010 and 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zheng | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 20 |
| Pts | 55-26 | 72-60 |
| Total Points | 81 | 132 |
| Winners | 13 | 23 |
| %Winners | 24% | 32% |
Both Zheng and Kanepi played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zheng and Kanepi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Zheng played 7 games less than Kanepi. Qinwen scored 13 winners (24% of the total points). On the other side, Kaia scored 23 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zheng | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 1 |
| 1st in | 15/33 | 32/56 |
| %1st in | 45% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 13/15 | 23/32 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 17/24 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 71% |
Zheng fired 6 aces . Kanepi blasted 1 ace . Zheng won 87% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Kanepi won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zheng | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/11 | 3/4 |
| % Converted | 55% | 75% |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Qinwen broke her opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Zheng pretty solid on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Estonian broke her opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Estonian conceded her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.
| Zheng | |||
| R1 Podoroska |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 55-26 | 55-26 | |
| Total points | 81 | 81 | |
| Winners | 13 | 13 | |
| %Winners | 24% | 24% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 15/33 | 15/33 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 45% | |
| 1st pts | 13/15 | 13/15 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kanepi | |||
| R1 Strycova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 72-60 | 72-60 | |
| Total points | 132 | 132 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/56 | 32/56 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 23/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 17/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWL
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