Arthur Fils and Matteo Arnaldi will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on Court 10. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Arthur Fils who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Arthur Fils is the pick to win this match.
Arthur Fils -> 1.76
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Arthur Fils vs. Matteo Arnaldi
This will be the 2nd time that Arthur Fils and Matteo Arnaldi square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Arnaldi won 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the qualifications in Madrid back in April 2023.
Arthur Fils
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-11 | 10-6 | 10-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-28 | 15-9 | 14-10 | 7-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-24 | 5-4 | 13-8 | 21-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-28 | 0-1 | 23-15 | 20-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-26 | 3-2 | 29-17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 48, Fils got to the 2nd round after beating Tallon Griekspoor 4-6 6-3 5-7 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, The French player had a tough win against Griekspoor to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 6-3 5-7 6-4 7-5). During the match, Fils scored 166 points vs Griekspoor’s 158. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 86 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fils submerged his opponent with 22 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Arthur Fils lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Fils put 66% of his first serves in, winning 77% (86/111) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (24/58) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Griekspoor 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Fils has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 61% of his matches (111-72). 3-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fils has a compiled6-5 match record in the last 4 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he overcame Joris De Loore in the final 6-1 7-6(4) and in Lyon where he overcame Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-3 7-5.
Fils has a compiled 34-16 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 61 (career-high), Matteo got to the 2nd round after beating Jason Murray Kubler 6-3 1-0 ret..
In the 1st round against Murray Kubler, Matteo had a free pass after Murray Kubler retired on a 6-3 1-0 . scoreline.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he defeated Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he defeated Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he defeated Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.
Arnaldi has an aggregate 40-20 win-loss record in 2023, 14-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fils | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 10 |
| Pts | 166-158 | 36-23 |
| Total Points | 324 | 59 |
| Winners | 86 | 18 |
| %Winners | 52% | 50% |
Both Fils and Arnaldi played 1 match. At the moment, Arthur Fils surrendered 2 sets while Matteo Arnaldi hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fils has played 2 sets more than Arnaldi (5 vs 3). Therefore, Fils played 43 games more than Arnaldi. Arthur scored 86 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo bagged 18 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fils | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 22 | 7 |
| 1st in | 111/169 | 22/29 |
| %1st in | 66% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 86/111 | 18/22 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 24/58 | 4/7 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 57% |
Fils made 22 aces . Arnaldi recorded 7 aces . Fils won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fils | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 2 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 2/2 |
| % Converted | 45% | 100% |
| Conceded | 15 | 0 |
| Saved | 11 | 0 |
| % Saved | 73% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
Arthur broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Arthur lost his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Matteo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Fils | |||
| R1 Griekspoor |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 5-7 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 53 | 53 | |
| pts | 166-158 | 166-158 | |
| Total points | 324 | 324 | |
| Winners | 86 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 22 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 111/169 | 111/169 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 86/111 | 86/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/58 | 24/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 | |
| Saved | 11/15 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Arnaldi | |||
| R1 Murray Kubler |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 10 | |
| pts | 36-23 | 36-23 | |
| Total points | 59 | 59 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 22/29 | 22/29 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 18/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLLW
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