Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on PORSCHE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.285
Jasmine Paolini -> 3.64
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 2nd time that Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Rybakina won 7-6(4) 6-1 in the 2nd round in Rome back in May 2023.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Jasmine Paolini – Rome 12-May-2023
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 0-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the 3rd round after beating Jelena Ostapenko 6-76 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Ostapenko, Elena recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 6-2 6-4). During the match, Rybakina scored 109 points vs Ostapenko’s 91. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina made 11 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 47% of her first serves in, winning 74% (37/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (27/57) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Ostapenko 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).
Rybakina has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (283-127). 25-6 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a composed121-61 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Indian Wells where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4 and in Rome where she defeated Anhelina Kalinina in the final 6-4 1-0 ret..
Elena has a composed 41-10 win-loss record in 2023, 25-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-19 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 43, the Italian got to the 3rd round after beating Rebeka Masarova 1-6 6-3 7-5, Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 7-5 7-5, Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-1 and Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-1 6-3). During the match Paolini scored 56 points vs Bucsa’s 41. Jasmine was very aggressive to blast 14 winners.
Talking about serving, Paolini wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 67% of her first serves in, winning 44% (14/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Bucsa 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paolini started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Florence where she overcame Taylor Townsend in the final 6-3 7-5.
The Italian has a compiled 28-21 win-loss record in 2023, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 83 |
| Pts | 109-91 | 292-248 |
| Total Points | 200 | 540 |
| Winners | 37 | 100 |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% |
Rybakina played 1 match while Paolini competed in 4 matches. Paolini started her run from the qualifications while Rybakina had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina dropped 1 set, while Jasmine Paolini lost 1 set. Rybakina has played 6 set(s) less than Paolini (3 vs 9). Therefore, Rybakina played 52 games less than Paolini. Rybakina scored 37 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Paolini managed to score 100 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 1 |
| 1st in | 50/107 | 164/272 |
| %1st in | 47% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 100/164 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 27/57 | 50/108 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 46% |
Rybakina recorded 11 aces . Paolini blasted 4 aces (1 per match). Rybakina won 74% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 24 |
| Converted | 7/12 | 24/44 |
| % Converted | 58% | 55% |
| Conceded | 10 | 30 |
| Saved | 6 | 16 |
| % Saved | 60% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 14 |
Elena broke her opponent 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 24 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R2 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 109-91 | 109-91 | |
| Total points | 200 | 200 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 50/107 | 50/107 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 37/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/57 | 27/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Paolini | ||||||
| Q1 Masarova |
Q3 Camila Osorio Serrano |
R1 Kostyuk |
R2 Bucsa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 7-5 | 7-5 7-5 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 24 | 15 | 16 | 83 | |
| pts | 90-96 | 88-77 | 58-34 | 56-41 | 292-248 | |
| Total points | 186 | 165 | 92 | 97 | 540 | |
| Winners | 38 | 23 | 25 | 14 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 26% | 43% | 25% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 59/108 | 39/68 | 34/48 | 32/48 | 164/272 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 57% | 71% | 67% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 38/59 | 23/39 | 25/34 | 14/32 | 100/164 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 59% | 74% | 44% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/49 | 10/29 | 7/14 | 11/16 | 50/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 34% | 50% | 69% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 8/18 | 5/7 | 7/13 | 24/44 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 44% | 71% | 54% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | |
| Saved | 10/14 | 4/10 | 0/1 | 2/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 40% | 0% | 40% | 151% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWWWW
LWLWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ann LiLi (7-5 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Venus WilliamsWilliams (1-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Petra KvitovaKvitova (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-72 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Petra MarticMartic (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-76 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Mayar SherifSherif (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-3 6-72 7-62) – See score progression
- Sloane StephensStephens – Caroline GarciaGarcia (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Yuichi SugitaSugita – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lucas PouillePouille – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Malek JaziriJaziri – Robin HaaseHaase (7-64 7-63) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (6-4 6-72 6-1) – See score progression
- Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Benoit PairePaire (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Marcos BaghdatisBaghdatis (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-7(6) 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Petra KvitovaKvitova (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Mayar SherifSherif (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ann LiLi (7-5 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Qinwen ZhengZheng (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Sloane StephensStephens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Jessica PegulaPegula (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Donna VekicVekic (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-3) – H2H and prediction
