Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova will play each other in the semifinal of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on Court Central. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.72
Liudmila Samsonova -> 2.12
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Samsonova won 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in Tokyo back in 2022.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the semifinal after defeating Jennifer Brady 6-73 7-65 6-3, Sloane Stephens 6-3 6-3 and Daria Kasatkina 5-7 7-5 7-68.
In the quarter against Kasatkina, Rybakina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 7-68).During the match, Rybakina scored less points (3) than Kasatkina. In fact, the world no. 4 won 144 points vs Kasatkina’s. That means that Rybakina was more focused during the important points. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 10 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 56% of her first serves in, winning 62% (53/86) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (22/67) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Kasatkina 10 times after converting 42% of her break points (10/24).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina has lost 2 set in this competition to win 52% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (282-126). 24-5 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an aggregate120-60 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Indian Wells where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4 and in Rome where she beat Anhelina Kalinina in the final 6-4 1-0 ret..
The Kazakhstani has a composed 40-9 win-loss record in 2023, 24-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Katerina Siniakova 4-6 6-2 6-3, Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-2, Aryna Sabalenka 7-62 4-6 6-3 and Belinda Bencic 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Ludmilla had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-4 6-4). During the match Samsonova scored 75 points vs Bencic’s 70. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Samsonova bagged 8 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 49% of her first serves in, winning 83% (29/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (17/37) on the 2nd serve. Ludmilla broke Bencic twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ludmilla has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Ludmilla’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Abu Dhabi.
Ludmilla has an aggregate 23-17 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 90 | 96 |
| Pts | 318-295 | 341-298 |
| Total Points | 613 | 639 |
| Winners | 118 | 130 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Rybakina played 3 matches while Samsonova competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina conceded 2 sets, while Liudmila Samsonova dropped 2 sets. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Samsonova (8 vs 10). Therefore, Rybakina played 6 games less than Samsonova. The Kazakhstani scored 118 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Ludmilla bagged 130 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 173/311 | 171/331 |
| %1st in | 56% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 118/173 | 130/171 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 61/138 | 80/160 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 50% |
Rybakina managed to score 21 aces (7 per match). Samsonova recorded 25 aces (6.3 per match). Rybakina won 68% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 14 |
| Converted | 18/41 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 44% | 54% |
| Conceded | 29 | 29 |
| Saved | 15 | 23 |
| % Saved | 52% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 14 | 6 |
Rybakina broke her opponents 18 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost her serve 14 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded. Ludmilla broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Samsonova conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||||
| R2 Brady |
R3 Stephens |
1/4 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 7-65 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 5-7 7-5 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 18 | 37 | 90 | |
| pts | 116-106 | 58-42 | 144-147 | 318-295 | |
| Total points | 222 | 100 | 291 | 613 | |
| Winners | 48 | 17 | 53 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 29% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 2 | 7 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 63/109 | 24/49 | 86/153 | 173/311 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 49% | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 48/63 | 17/24 | 53/86 | 118/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 62% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/46 | 15/25 | 22/67 | 61/138 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 60% | 33% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/10 | 10/24 | 18/41 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 42% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 21 | 29 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/3 | 11/21 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 33% | 52% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | |
| Samsonova | ||||||
| R1 Siniakova |
R2 Zheng |
R3 Sabalenka |
1/4 Bencic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-62 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 17 | 32 | 20 | 96 | |
| pts | 91-78 | 60-42 | 115-108 | 75-70 | 341-298 | |
| Total points | 169 | 102 | 223 | 145 | 639 | |
| Winners | 36 | 19 | 46 | 29 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 32% | 40% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 52/91 | 25/44 | 59/124 | 35/72 | 171/331 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 48% | 49% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 36/52 | 19/25 | 46/59 | 29/35 | 130/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 76% | 78% | 83% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 11/19 | 32/65 | 17/37 | 80/160 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 58% | 49% | 46% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/7 | 2/6 | 2/5 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 71% | 33% | 40% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 29 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 0/1 | 11/13 | 5/5 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 0% | 85% | 100% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
LLLLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Jared DonaldsonDonaldson (6-3 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jamie Murray/Bruno SoaresMurray/Bruno Soares – Nikola Mektic/Alexander PeyaMektic/Alexander Peya (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jessica PegulaPegula (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
