Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:30 pm on Court Central. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.3
Jessica Pegula -> 3.54
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula
This will be the 8th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula clash against each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-2 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Swiatek won 6-3 6-0 in the final in Doha back in February 2023.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula – Doha 18-February-2023
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Pole reached the semifinal after beating Karolina Pliskova 7-66 6-2, Karolina Muchova 6-1 4-6 6-4 and Danielle Rose Collins 6-3 4-6 6-2.
In the quarter, The Pole defeated Collins (6-3 4-6 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 94 points vs Collins’s 81. The Pole was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek blasted 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Iga Swiatek was very efficient on serve to win 73% (37/51) of her 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. Iga broke Collins 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 81% of her matches (267-63). 24-4 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an overall115-33 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Doha where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4 and at the French Open where she defeated Karolina Muchova in the final 6-2 5-7 6-4 and in Warsaw where she overcame Laura Siegemund in the final 6-0 6-1.
Iga has a compiled 50-7 win-loss record in 2023, 24-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American reached the semifinal after defeating Yulia Putintseva 6-4 6-4, Jasmine Paolini 6-4 6-0 and Cori Gauff 6-2 5-7 7-5.
In the quarter, The American defeated Gauff (6-2 5-7 7-5). During the match Pegula scored 109 points vs Gauff’s 98. Pegula was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Pegula struck 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 66% of her first serves in, winning 69% (45/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Gauff 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.
Pegula has an aggregate 40-13 win-loss record in 2023, 26-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 68 |
| Pts | 277-234 | 237-196 |
| Total Points | 511 | 433 |
| Winners | 100 | 93 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Both Swiatek and Pegula played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek dropped 2 sets, while Jessica Pegula lost 1 set. Swiatek has played 1 set more than Pegula (8 vs 7). Therefore, Swiatek played 7 games more than Pegula. Swiatek scored 100 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 93 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 147/233 | 130/202 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 100/147 | 93/130 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 47/86 | 41/72 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 57% |
Swiatek struck 16 aces (5.3 per match). Pegula struck 10 aces (3.3 per match). Swiatek won 68% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 13 |
| Converted | 15/30 | 13/25 |
| % Converted | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded | 21 | 16 |
| Saved | 12 | 11 |
| % Saved | 57% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 5 |
The Pole broke her opponents 15 times with a 50% conversion rate. Iga surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Pegula broke her opponents 13 times with a 52% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R2 Pliskova |
R3 Muchova |
1/4 Collins |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 27 | 27 | 75 | |
| pts | 78-59 | 105-94 | 94-81 | 277-234 | |
| Total points | 137 | 199 | 175 | 511 | |
| Winners | 25 | 38 | 37 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 36% | 39% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 34/58 | 62/88 | 51/87 | 147/233 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 70% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 38/62 | 37/51 | 100/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 61% | 73% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 15/26 | 19/36 | 47/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 58% | 53% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/13 | 5/9 | 15/30 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 38% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 6/9 | 5/8 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 67% | 63% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Pegula | |||||
| R2 Putintseva |
R3 Paolini |
1/4 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 5-7 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 16 | 32 | 68 | |
| pts | 63-53 | 65-45 | 109-98 | 237-196 | |
| Total points | 116 | 110 | 207 | 433 | |
| Winners | 25 | 23 | 45 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% | 41% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/58 | 30/46 | 65/98 | 130/202 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 65% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 25/35 | 23/30 | 45/65 | 93/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 77% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 9/16 | 17/33 | 41/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 56% | 52% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/11 | 5/8 | 13/25 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 63% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/5 | 5/8 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | 63% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLWWW
LLLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Jamie Murray/Bruno SoaresMurray/Bruno Soares – Nikola Mektic/Alexander PeyaMektic/Alexander Peya (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Jared DonaldsonDonaldson (6-3 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jessica PegulaPegula (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
