[UPDATED QF]. Prediction, H2H of Carlos Alcaraz’s draw vs Paul, Sinner, Medvedev to win the Toronto

Toronto draw preview with H2H - Carlos Alcaraz may need to best Tommy Paul, Jannik Sinner, Daniil Medvedev to conquer the title in the National Bank Open.

Carlos Alcaraz Stats info

Carlos Alcaraz is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Toronto. Carlos has defeated Ben Shelton 6-3 7-63 and Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 7-62 7-63 to reach the quarter where he will face Tommy Paul.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw together withhislikely opposition in National Bank Open. Alcaraz has a winning record (7-5) with the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Ben Shelton (41) – 6-3 7-63
R3 – Hubert Hurkacz (17) – 3-6 7-62 7-63
1/4 – Tommy Paul (14) – H2H 1-1
1/2 – Jannik Sinner (8) – H2H 4-3
or Gael Monfils (276) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (3) – H2H 2-1
or Alex De Minaur (18) – H2H 2-0
Alcaraz
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

1/4 – Tommy Paul’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

46 - 29win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
8
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0
2019 45-16 22-7 12-4 5-1 6-4 0-0
2018 40-20 28-15 0-0 12-5 0-0 0-0
2017 48-24 27-12 18-8 3-4 0-0 0-0
2016 28-28 9-14 18-9 1-4 0-1 0-0

Tommy Paul has a 34-18 win-loss record in 2023, 19-7 on hard. During the previous 9 years, Tommy has a 165-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Tommy won 7 of his last 10 matches.

The American’s most significant result of the year was reaching the final Acapulco, the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.

Last year in National Bank Open Tommy capitulated to Daniel Evans in the quarter 1-6 6-3 6-4.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul

This contest would be 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Paul (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-3 for Carlos Alcaraz

64 - 15win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 38-11 win-loss record in 2023, 15-4 on hard. In the last 6 years, the Italian has a 85-38 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Jannik won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the year was conquering the tournament in Montpellier where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3.

Last year in National Bank Open Sinner lost to Pablo Carreno-Busta in the 3rd round 6-2 6-4.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner

This match would represent the 8th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner face off. The head to head is 4-3 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Carlos Alcaraz may take on Gael Monfils. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

66 - 18win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0
2017 28-28 8-11 0-4 10-9 10-4 0-0
2016 69-27 15-6 13-7 23-8 9-3 9-3

Daniil Medvedev has a 48-9 win-loss record in 2023, 26-3 on hard. In the last 11 years, Medvedev has a 207-65 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Russian won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the current season was winning the competition in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2, in Doha where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4, in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2, in Miami where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3, and in Rome where he beat Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.

Last year in National Bank Open Medvedev lost to Nick Kyrgios in the 2nd round 6-7(2) 6-4 6-2.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev

This contest would be 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Carlos Alcaraz may square off with Alex De Minaur. Their H2H record is 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.