Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mackenzie Mcdonald will clash against each other in the quarter of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.72
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 2.13
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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald
This will be the 2nd time that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Mackenzie Mcdonald square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Davidovich Fokina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Davidovich Fokina won 6-2 3-6 7-5 in the 1st round in Stockholm back in 2021.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, Alejandro got to the quarter after beating Jeff Wolf 6-0 6-2, Alexander Zverev 6-1 6-2 and Casper Ruud 7-64 4-6 7-64.
In the 3rd round, Alejandro defeated Ruud (7-64 4-6 7-64). During the match, Davidovich Fokina scored 120 points vs Ruud’s 118. Davidovich Fokina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about the service games, Davidovich Fokina bagged 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was quite effective on serve to win 71% (53/75) of his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Davidovich Fokina broke Ruud twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alejandro has lost 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Davidovich Fokina has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (234-163). 13-6 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Davidovich Fokina has a compiled97-56 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Davidovich Fokina has a compiled 25-19 win-loss record in 2023, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Mackenzie Mcdonald
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-31 | 24-16 | 1-4 | 9-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 59, the American got to the quarter after defeating Aslan Karatsev 6-3 6-4, Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-3 and Milos Raonic 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Raonic (6-3 6-3). During the match Mcdonald scored 62 points vs Raonic’s 45. Mcdonald was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Mcdonald bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Raonic 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mackenzie hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Mcdonald’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach and Eastbourne.
Mcdonald has a compiled 26-21 win-loss record in 2023, 16-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018, 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Davidovich Fokina | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 56 |
| Pts | 232-176 | 210-168 |
| Total Points | 408 | 378 |
| Winners | 95 | 84 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
Both Davidovich Fokina and Mcdonald played 3 matches. At the moment, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina surrendered 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Davidovich Fokina has played 1 set more than Mcdonald (7 vs 6). Therefore, Davidovich Fokina played 9 games more than Mcdonald. Davidovich Fokina scored 95 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 84 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Davidovich Fokina | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 130/201 | 117/182 |
| %1st in | 65% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 95/130 | 84/117 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 39/71 | 39/65 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 60% |
Davidovich Fokina bagged 15 aces (5 per match). Mcdonald recorded 12 aces (4 per match). Davidovich Fokina won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Davidovich Fokina | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 11 |
| Converted | 12/21 | 11/22 |
| % Converted | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 56% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Mackenzie broke his opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Davidovich Fokina | |||||
| R1 Wolf |
R2 Zverev |
R3 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 7-64 4-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 15 | 36 | 65 | |
| pts | 57-32 | 55-26 | 120-118 | 232-176 | |
| Total points | 89 | 81 | 238 | 408 | |
| Winners | 23 | 19 | 53 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 30/42 | 25/45 | 75/114 | 130/201 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 56% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 19/25 | 53/75 | 95/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 76% | 71% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/12 | 14/20 | 20/39 | 39/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 70% | 51% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/4 | 2/5 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 40% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 4/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 57% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Mcdonald | |||||
| R1 Karatsev |
R2 Rublev |
R3 Raonic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 18 | 56 | |
| pts | 78-66 | 70-57 | 62-45 | 210-168 | |
| Total points | 144 | 127 | 107 | 378 | |
| Winners | 26 | 28 | 30 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 40% | 48% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 43/70 | 37/60 | 37/52 | 117/182 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 62% | 71% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 26/43 | 28/37 | 30/37 | 84/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 76% | 81% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 14/23 | 10/15 | 39/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 61% | 67% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/7 | 3/5 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 60% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 100% | 100% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWLW
LWWLWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 7-62 7-63) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Casper RuudRuud (7-64 4-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taylor FritzFritz (7-67 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Milos RaonicRaonic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andy MurrayMurray (w/o) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 7-6(2) 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andy MurrayMurray (w/o) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-6(7) 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tommy PaulPaul (1-1) – H2H and prediction
