Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova will face off in the 3rd round of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:00 pm on Court Central. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.3
Liudmila Samsonova -> 3.54
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Sabalenka and Samsonova (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 7-6(8) 7-6(3) in the 2nd round in Adelaide back in January 2023.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova – Adelaide 04-January-2023
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Aryna got to the 3rd round after beating Petra Martic 6-3 7-65.
In the 2nd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Martic (6-3 7-65). During the match, Sabalenka scored 84 points vs Martic’s 72. Sabalenka was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 13 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 51% of her first serves in, winning 76% (34/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (20/43) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Martic 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (304-148). 21-3 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a composed175-79 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
Sabalenka has an aggregate 41-8 win-loss record in 2023, 21-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the Russian reached the 3rd round after defeating Katerina Siniakova 4-6 6-2 6-3 and Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-3 6-2). During the match Samsonova scored 60 points vs Zheng’s 42. Ludmilla was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about serving, Samsonova bagged 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Liudmila Samsonova was very efficient on serve to win 76% (19/25) of her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Zheng 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Samsonova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Ludmilla’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Abu Dhabi.
Samsonova has a compiled 21-17 win-loss record in 2023, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 44 |
| Pts | 84-72 | 151-120 |
| Total Points | 156 | 271 |
| Winners | 34 | 55 |
| %Winners | 40% | 36% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Samsonova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Liudmila Samsonova conceded 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Samsonova (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 22 games less than Samsonova. Sabalenka scored 34 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Samsonova scored 55 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 45/88 | 77/135 |
| %1st in | 51% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 55/77 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 20/43 | 31/58 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 53% |
Sabalenka managed to score 13 aces . Samsonova bagged 9 aces (4.5 per match). Sabalenka won 76% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 10 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 10/15 |
| % Converted | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 67% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Aryna broke her opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Martic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 84-72 | 84-72 | |
| Total points | 156 | 156 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 45/88 | 45/88 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 34/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/43 | 20/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Samsonova | ||||
| R1 Siniakova |
R2 Zheng |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 17 | 44 | |
| pts | 91-78 | 60-42 | 151-120 | |
| Total points | 169 | 102 | 271 | |
| Winners | 36 | 19 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 32% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 52/91 | 25/44 | 77/135 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 36/52 | 19/25 | 55/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 76% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 11/19 | 31/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 58% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/7 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 71% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 0/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 0% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LLLLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cori GauffGauff – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Sloane StephensStephens (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-1 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Belinda BencicBencic (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
