David Goffin and Nerman Fatic will square off in the quarter of the San Marino Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is David Goffin who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, David Goffin is the pick to win this match.
David Goffin -> 1.25
Nerman Fatic -> 3.75
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Prediction and head to head David Goffin vs. Nerman Fatic
This will be the 2nd time that David Goffin and Nerman Fatic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Goffin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Goffin won 6-4 6-3 in the 1st round in the Verona Challenger back in July 2023.
David Goffin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-28 | 24-11 | 7-7 | 9-7 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-26 | 2-5 | 11-9 | 18-9 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-29 | 7-13 | 14-5 | 9-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-15 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-11 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 100, the Belgian got to the quarter after defeating Federico Gaio 6-2 7-5 and Vitaliy Sachko 6-70 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Sachko, Goffin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-70 6-2 6-2). During the match, Goffin scored 90 points vs Sachko’s 76. David was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Goffin bagged 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. David Goffin lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Goffin put 66% of his first serves in, winning 80% (41/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (10/26) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Sachko 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
David has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Goffin has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (365-210). 11-8 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Goffin has a composed 116-56 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Neuve Challenger where he defeated Mikael Ymer in the final 6-4 6-1.
David has an aggregate 25-16 win-loss record in 2023, 11-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Marino Challenger
The Belgian has never competed in this tournament before.
Nerman Fatic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-26 | 3-5 | 19-20 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-28 | 0-1 | 35-25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 34-27 | 0-1 | 31-19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 37-26 | 1-1 | 30-22 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 9-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 222, Nerman got to the quarter after beating Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-3 3-6 6-3 and Kyrian Jacquet 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Bosnian had a good straight sets win against Jacquet (7-5 6-4). During the match Fatic scored 75 points vs Jacquet’s 60. Fatic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Fatic recorded 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nerman Fatic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (33/40) of his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Bosnian broke Jacquet twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fatic has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Bosnian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Modena Challenger.
Nerman has a compiled 20-15 win-loss record in 2023, 20-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Marino Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Goffin | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 49 |
| Pts | 170-137 | 171-151 |
| Total Points | 307 | 322 |
| Winners | 69 | 65 |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% |
Both Goffin and Fatic played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. David Goffin conceded 1 set, while Nerman Fatic lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Goffin and Fatic have played the same amount of sets 5. They also played the same amount of games (49). David scored 69 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Fatic blasted 65 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Goffin | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 85/141 | 95/158 |
| %1st in | 60% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 69/85 | 65/95 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 27/56 | 36/63 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 57% |
Goffin recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Fatic blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Goffin won 81% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Fatic won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Goffin | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/23 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 17 |
| Saved | 3 | 12 |
| % Saved | 50% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Goffin broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. Goffin lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Bosnian broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Fatic conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Goffin | ||||
| R1 Gaio |
R2 Sachko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-70 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 29 | 49 | |
| pts | 80-61 | 90-76 | 170-137 | |
| Total points | 141 | 166 | 307 | |
| Winners | 28 | 41 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 46% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 34/64 | 51/77 | 85/141 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 66% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 28/34 | 41/51 | 69/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 10/26 | 27/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 38% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/14 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Fatic | ||||
| R1 Andres |
R2 Jacquet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 22 | 49 | |
| pts | 96-91 | 75-60 | 171-151 | |
| Total points | 187 | 135 | 322 | |
| Winners | 32 | 33 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 55/91 | 40/67 | 95/158 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 32/55 | 33/40 | 65/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 83% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/36 | 18/27 | 36/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 2/5 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 7/12 | 5/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 100% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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