Vladyslav Orlov and Ergi Kirkin will square off in the qualifications of the Tampere Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ergi Kirkin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ergi Kirkin is the pick to win this match.
Ergi Kirkin -> 1.53
Vladyslav Orlov -> 2.38
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Prediction and head to head Vladyslav Orlov vs. Ergi Kirkin
This will be the 3rd time that Vladyslav Orlov and Ergi Kirkin square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Kirkin (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Kirkin won 2-6 6-4 6-1 in the qualifications in the Sibiu Challenger back in 2020.
Vladyslav Orlov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-26 | 5-8 | 22-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-39 | 23-21 | 14-17 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-24 | 22-8 | 16-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-33 | 6-7 | 21-21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 33-14 | 23-8 | 10-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 398, Orlov got to the qualifications after defeating Vesa Ahti 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Orlov had a good straight sets win against Ahti (6-4 6-4). During the match, Orlov scored 65 points vs Ahti’s 54. Vladyslav was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Orlov scored just 1 ace and he committed only 2 double faults. Vladyslav Orlov was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vladyslav broke Ahti twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Orlov has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 56% of his matches (260-206). 8-9 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Orlov has a compiled115-96 record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Ukrainian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Poprad.
Vladyslav has a compiled 20-21 win-loss record in 2023, 8-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tampere Challenger
Orlov has never competed in this tournament before.
Ergi Kirkin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-28 | 11-4 | 29-19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-26 | 3-4 | 39-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-28 | 3-5 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-27 | 4-8 | 29-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-8 | 14-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 400, Kirkin got to the qualifications after beating Peetu Pohjola 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Kirkin had a good straight sets win against Pohjola (6-4 6-2). During the match Kirkin scored 60 points vs Pohjola’s 43. Ergi was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Kirkin bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Ergi Kirkin was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kirkin was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Pohjola 4 times.
The Turk’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Doboj and M15 Belgrade.
Ergi has a composed 27-13 win-loss record in 2023, 22-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Orlov | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 |
| Pts | 65-54 | 60-43 |
| Total Points | 119 | 103 |
| Winners | 22 | 21 |
| %Winners | 34% | 35% |
Both Orlov and Kirkin played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Orlov and Kirkin have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Orlov played 2 games more than Kirkin. Vladyslav scored 22 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Ergi managed to score 21 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Orlov | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 27/53 | 26/50 |
| %1st in | 51% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 21/26 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 18/26 | 14/24 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 58% |
Orlov made 1 ace . Kirkin also made 2 aces . Orlov won 81% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Kirkin won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Orlov | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/4 |
| % Converted | 29% | 100% |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Ukrainian broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Vladyslav very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Kirkin broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Turk conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Orlov | |||
| Q1 Ahti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-54 | 65-54 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 27/53 | 27/53 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 22/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/26 | 18/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kirkin | |||
| Q1 Pohjola |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 60-43 | 60-43 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 26/50 | 26/50 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 21/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 14/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWLWL
LLLLWLLWWL 
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