Holger Rune and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will fight against each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Court 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.34
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 3.26
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Davidovich Fokina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Davidovich Fokina won 7-6(1) 5-7 7-6(5) in the 3rd round in Madrid back in April 2023.
Highlights Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Holger Rune – Madrid 30-April-2023
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-20 | 19-10 | 11-6 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Rune got to the 3rd round after beating George Loffhagen 7-64 6-3 6-2 and Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 7-63 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (6-3 7-63 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 111 points vs Carballes Baena’s 97. Rune was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rune struck 8 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 59% of his first serves in, winning 76% (50/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (20/45) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Carballes Baena 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (197-94). 5-1 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has a composed5-4 match record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Munich where he overcame Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).
The Dane has an aggregate 35-12 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-20 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-13 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Davidovich Fokina reached the 3rd round after beating Arthur Fils 7-63 6-1 6-2 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-1 2-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Alejandro defeated Van De Zandschulp (6-1 2-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 121 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 109. Davidovich Fokina was extremely aggressive to blast 56 winners.
About the serving games, Davidovich Fokina recorded 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was extremely efficient on serve to win 72% (56/78) of his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Davidovich Fokina broke Van De Zandschulp 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alejandro has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 21-16 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 62 |
| Pts | 216-181 | 224-184 |
| Total Points | 397 | 408 |
| Winners | 96 | 103 |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% |
Both Rune and Davidovich Fokina played 2 matches. At the moment, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina dropped 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t lost a set so far. Rune has played 1 set(s) less than Davidovich Fokina (6 vs 7). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (62). Holger scored 96 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro fired 103 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 123/197 | 147/213 |
| %1st in | 62% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 96/123 | 103/147 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 40/74 | 39/66 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 59% |
Rune fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Davidovich Fokina scored 8 aces (4 per match). Rune won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 11 |
| Converted | 8/21 | 11/19 |
| % Converted | 38% | 58% |
| Conceded | 16 | 15 |
| Saved | 13 | 11 |
| % Saved | 81% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Rune broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Dane dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Davidovich Fokina broke his opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||
| R1 Loffhagen |
R2 Carballes Baena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 32 | 62 | |
| pts | 105-84 | 111-97 | 216-181 | |
| Total points | 189 | 208 | 397 | |
| Winners | 46 | 50 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 11 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 57/86 | 66/111 | 123/197 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 46/57 | 50/66 | 96/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 20/45 | 40/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 44% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 5/10 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 8/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 73% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | ||||
| R1 Fils |
R2 Van De Zandschulp |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 2-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 34 | 62 | |
| pts | 103-75 | 121-109 | 224-184 | |
| Total points | 178 | 230 | 408 | |
| Winners | 47 | 56 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 69/96 | 78/117 | 147/213 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 47/69 | 56/78 | 103/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 72% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/27 | 20/39 | 39/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 51% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/11 | 11/19 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 45% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 6/8 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 75% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLWWW
LWLWLLLWWL Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
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- Jannik SinnerSinner – Quentin HalysHalys (3-6 6-2 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Guido PellaPella (7-61 6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tommy PaulPaul (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander BublikBublik (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-5) – H2H and prediction
