Hubert Hurkacz and Jan Choinski will fight against each other in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 18. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.106
Jan Choinski -> 6.7
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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Jan Choinski
There is no head to head record between Hubert Hurkacz and Jan Choinski since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-11 | 4-5 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Hubert reached the 2nd round after defeating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-1 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Hubert had a good straight sets win against Ramos-Vinolas (6-1 6-4 6-4). During the match, Hurkacz scored 94 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 66. Hurkacz was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Hurkacz made 15 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Hubert Hurkacz was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (45/54) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Hubert broke Ramos-Vinolas 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Hurkacz has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (330-204). 4-2 on grass in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Hurkacz has an overall 20-13 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Benjamin Bonzi in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
The Pole has an aggregate 23-14 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Jan Choinski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-27 | 0-4 | 31-15 | 6-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-33 | 4-4 | 24-16 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 164 (career-high), Jan got to the 2nd round after beating Dusan Lajovic 5-7 7-64 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round against Lajovic, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-64 6-2 6-2). During the match Choinski scored 133 points vs Lajovic’s 118. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 57 winners.
About the serving games, Choinski managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 69% of his first serves in, winning 65% (57/88) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the 2nd serve. Choinski broke Lajovic 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).
Jan’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Nussloch,the Cherbourg Challenger,the Mexico City Challenger and the San Luis Potosi Challenger.
The German has an overall 26-20 win-loss record in 2023, 2-4 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hurkacz | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 41 |
| Pts | 94-66 | 133-118 |
| Total Points | 160 | 251 |
| Winners | 45 | 57 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Hurkacz and Choinski played 1 match. At the moment, Jan Choinski lost 1 set while Hubert Hurkacz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Hurkacz has played 1 set(s) less than Choinski (3 vs 4). Therefore, Hurkacz played 14 games less than Choinski. The Pole scored 45 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Choinski fired 57 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hurkacz | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 15 | 8 |
| 1st in | 54/80 | 88/128 |
| %1st in | 68% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 45/54 | 57/88 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 24/40 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 60% |
Hurkacz made 15 aces . Choinski blasted 8 aces . Hurkacz won 83% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hurkacz | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 8/13 |
| % Converted | 57% | 62% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 100% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Hurkacz broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Pole pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. Jan broke his opponent 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hurkacz | |||
| R1 Ramos-Vinolas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 94-66 | 94-66 | |
| Total points | 160 | 160 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 54/80 | 54/80 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 45/54 | 45/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 15/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Choinski | |||
| R1 Lajovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-64 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 41 | 41 | |
| pts | 133-118 | 133-118 | |
| Total points | 251 | 251 | |
| Winners | 57 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 88/128 | 88/128 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 57/88 | 57/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/40 | 24/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/13 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 62% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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