Salvatore Caruso and Michael Vrbensky will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Milan Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Michael Vrbensky who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Michael Vrbensky is the pick to win this match.
Michael Vrbensky -> 1.85
Salvatore Caruso -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Salvatore Caruso vs. Michael Vrbensky
This will be the 2nd time that Salvatore Caruso and Michael Vrbensky fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Caruso (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Caruso won 7-5 7-5 in the 2nd round in the Forli Challenger back in 2020.
Highlights Salvatore Caruso vs Michael Vrbensky – Forli Challenger 23-September-2020
Salvatore Caruso
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-12 | 8-9 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-36 | 6-6 | 32-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 10-6 | 10-13 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-25 | 9-9 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-20 | 7-8 | 8-8 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 265, the Italian got to the qualifications after beating Lorenzo Rottoli 6-0 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Rottoli (6-0 6-4). During the match, Caruso scored 58 points vs Rottoli’s 35. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about the service games, Caruso struck 2 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Salvatore Caruso was exceptionally effective on serve to win 71% (17/24) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Caruso broke Rottoli 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Caruso has positive record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (329-279). 18-17 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Caruso has an overall 185-150 record in the last years on clay.
Caruso’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Manama Challenger.
The Italian has an aggregate 23-21 win-loss record in 2023, 18-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Milan Challenger
Michael Vrbensky
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-31 | 4-4 | 19-20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 4-4 | 32-18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 58-28 | 11-6 | 44-21 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-27 | 7-3 | 37-16 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 17-24 | 2-1 | 14-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 345, the Czech got to the qualifications after beating Ilya Snitari 6-4 1-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Czech defeated Snitari (6-4 1-6 6-3).During the match Vrbensky scored less points (3) than Snitari. In fact, the world no. 265 won 86 points vs Snitari’s. That means that Vrbensky was more focused during the important points. Michael was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Vrbensky recorded 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Michael Vrbensky lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Vrbensky put 46% of his first serves in, winning 61% (25/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (26/48) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Snitari 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
The Czech’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio,M25 Faro and M25 Most.
Michael has a composed 25-15 win-loss record in 2023, 14-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Caruso | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 |
| Pts | 58-35 | 86-89 |
| Total Points | 93 | 175 |
| Winners | 17 | 25 |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% |
Both Caruso and Vrbensky played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Michael Vrbensky dropped 1 set while Salvatore Caruso hasn’t dropped a set so far. Caruso has played 1 set(s) less than Vrbensky (2 vs 3). Therefore, Caruso played 10 games less than Vrbensky. The Italian scored 17 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech blasted 25 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Caruso | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 24/45 | 41/89 |
| %1st in | 53% | 46% |
| 1st pts | 17/24 | 25/41 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 26/48 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 54% |
Caruso made 2 aces . Vrbensky managed to score 3 aces . Caruso won 71% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Vrbensky won 61% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Caruso | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 83% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 75% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Salvatore broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Michael broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Vrbensky conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Caruso | |||
| Q1 Rottoli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 58-35 | 58-35 | |
| Total points | 93 | 93 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 24/45 | 24/45 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 17/24 | 17/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Vrbensky | |||
| Q1 Snitari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 86-89 | 86-89 | |
| Total points | 175 | 175 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 41/89 | 41/89 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 25/41 | 25/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/48 | 26/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWWWL 
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