Sofia Kenin and Moyuka Uchijima will clash against each other in the qualifications of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on Court 14. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sofia Kenin who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sofia Kenin is the pick to win this match.
Sofia Kenin -> 1.149
Moyuka Uchijima -> 5.1
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Prediction and head to head Sofia Kenin vs. Moyuka Uchijima
There is no head to head record between Sofia Kenin and Moyuka Uchijima since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Sofia Kenin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-26 | 19-18 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-26 | 10-17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-21 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 7-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126, the American got to the qualifications after beating Irina Falconi 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Sofia had a good straight sets win against Falconi (6-3 6-2). During the match, Kenin scored 74 points vs Falconi’s 57. Kenin was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kenin wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Sofia Kenin lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kenin put 70% of her first serves in, winning 63% (29/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Falconi 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Kenin has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (243-158). 2-2 on grass in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kenin has a composed 16-9 record in the last years on grass.
Kenin’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Hobart.
Kenin has an aggregate 13-14 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Moyuka Uchijima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-32 | 15-21 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-26 | 25-14 | 22-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-34 | 23-21 | 7-9 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-28 | 24-15 | 19-5 | 11-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-9 | 19-5 | 8-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 153, Moyuka reached the qualifications after beating Nigina Abduraimova 7-65 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, Uchijima defeated Abduraimova (7-65 4-6 6-4).During the match Uchijima scored less points (2) than Abduraimova. In fact, the world no. 126 won 105 points vs Abduraimova’s. That means that Uchijima was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Uchijima bagged 4 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Moyuka Uchijima lost the serve 5 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Uchijima put 50% of her first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (25/52) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Abduraimova 5 times after converting 29% of her break points (5/17).
The Japanese’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the W60 Astana.
The Japanese has a composed 17-20 win-loss record in 2023, 1-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kenin | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 33 |
| Pts | 74-57 | 105-107 |
| Total Points | 131 | 212 |
| Winners | 29 | 36 |
| %Winners | 39% | 34% |
Both Kenin and Uchijima played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Moyuka Uchijima conceded 1 set while Sofia Kenin hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kenin has played 1 set(s) less than Uchijima (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kenin played 16 games less than Uchijima. Kenin scored 29 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese scored 36 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kenin | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 46/66 | 53/105 |
| %1st in | 70% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 29/46 | 36/53 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 25/52 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 48% |
Kenin didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Uchijima struck 4 aces . Kenin won 63% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Uchijima won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kenin | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/17 |
| % Converted | 42% | 29% |
| Conceded | 6 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 67% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Kenin conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Uchijima broke her opponent 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Uchijima conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kenin | |||
| Q1 Falconi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 74-57 | 74-57 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 46/66 | 46/66 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 29/46 | 29/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 10/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Uchijima | |||
| Q1 Abduraimova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 105-107 | 105-107 | |
| Total points | 212 | 212 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 53/105 | 53/105 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 36/53 | 36/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/52 | 25/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 9/14 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLLWLW
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