Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur will square off in the final of the cinch Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.26
Alex De Minaur -> 3.86
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-4 in the semifinal in Barcelona back in 2022.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur – Barcelona 24-April-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Alcaraz reached the final after defeating Arthur Rinderknech 4-6 7-5 7-63, Jiri Lehecka 6-2 6-3, Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 6-4 and Sebastian Korda 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Korda (6-3 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 66 points vs Korda’s 51. Alcaraz was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz recorded 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 65% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Korda 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (207-55). 4-0 on grass in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a compiled8-2 record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he defeated Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3.
The Spaniard has an overall 39-4 win-loss record in 2023, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the Australian got to the final after defeating Andy Murray 6-3 6-1, Diego Schwartzman 6-2 6-2, Adrian Mannarino 6-4 4-6 6-4 and Holger Rune 6-3 7-62.
In the semifinal, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Rune (6-3 7-62). During the match De Minaur scored 73 points vs Rune’s 62. De Minaur was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex De Minaur was very effective on serve to win 78% (35/45) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. De Minaur broke Rune twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Acapulco where he defeated Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.
The Australian has a compiled 21-12 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 91 | 84 |
| Pts | 312-263 | 291-226 |
| Total Points | 575 | 517 |
| Winners | 151 | 108 |
| %Winners | 48% | 37% |
Both Alcaraz and De Minaur played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set, while Alex De Minaur lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Alcaraz played 7 games more than De Minaur. Carlos scored 151 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur recorded 108 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 197/292 | 150/262 |
| %1st in | 67% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 151/197 | 108/150 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 44/95 | 67/112 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 60% |
Alcaraz bagged 18 aces (4.5 per match). De Minaur made 8 aces (2 per match). Alcaraz won 77% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 16 |
| Converted | 13/35 | 16/32 |
| % Converted | 37% | 50% |
| Conceded | 20 | 12 |
| Saved | 14 | 7 |
| % Saved | 70% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 13 times with a 37% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||||
| R1 Rinderknech |
R2 Lehecka |
1/4 Dimitrov |
1/2 Korda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 7-63 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 91 | |
| pts | 103-101 | 73-53 | 70-58 | 66-51 | 312-263 | |
| Total points | 204 | 126 | 128 | 117 | 575 | |
| Winners | 48 | 35 | 37 | 31 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 48% | 53% | 47% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 64/95 | 42/66 | 54/74 | 37/57 | 197/292 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 64% | 73% | 65% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 48/64 | 35/42 | 37/54 | 31/37 | 151/197 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 83% | 69% | 84% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 9/24 | 10/20 | 9/20 | 44/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 38% | 50% | 45% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/9 | 4/6 | 3/9 | 13/35 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 3/3 | 6/8 | 4/5 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 100% | 75% | 80% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| De Minaur | ||||||
| R1 Murray |
R2 Schwartzman |
1/4 Mannarino |
1/2 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 30 | 22 | 84 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 57-29 | 96-88 | 73-62 | 291-226 | |
| Total points | 112 | 86 | 184 | 135 | 517 | |
| Winners | 27 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 23% | 34% | 48% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 42/60 | 16/43 | 47/91 | 45/68 | 150/262 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 37% | 52% | 66% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 27/42 | 13/16 | 33/47 | 35/45 | 108/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 81% | 70% | 78% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 16/27 | 26/44 | 13/23 | 67/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 59% | 59% | 57% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/9 | 4/10 | 2/5 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 40% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/2 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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