Katie Boulter and Heather Watson will face off in the semifinal of the Rothesay Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Katie Boulter who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Katie Boulter is the pick to win this match.
Katie Boulter -> 1.86
Heather Watson -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Katie Boulter vs. Heather Watson
This will be the 4th time that Katie Boulter and Heather Watson square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Boulter (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they squared off, Boulter won 6-1 6-3 in the quarter in the W60 Canberra back in January 2023.
Katie Boulter
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-22 | 9-14 | 8-4 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-23 | 24-12 | 3-6 | 3-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-20 | 22-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10-4 | 4-0 |
| 2022 | 29-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 16-7 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-15 | 12-9 | 5-1 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126, Katie got to the semifinal after beating Emily Appleton 6-1 6-3, Daria Snigur 7-5 6-3 and Harriet Dart 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter, Katie had a good straight sets win against Dart (6-3 7-5). During the match, Boulter scored 72 points vs Dart’s 58. Katie was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Boulter scored 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Katie Boulter lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Boulter put 62% of her first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Katie broke Dart 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Katie hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.
Boulter has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (264-155). 6-1 on grass in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Boulter has an overall 39-26 record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the season was winning the title the W60 Canberra where she overcame Jodie Anna Burrage in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.
Boulter has a compiled 25-10 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Nottingham
Heather Watson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-18 | 9-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-20 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 8-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-25 | 18-13 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-21 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 195, Watson reached the semifinal after beating Sophie Chang 6-3 6-3, Amelia Rajecki 6-3 6-2, Jule Niemeier 6-4 6-3, Tatjana Maria 6-4 6-4 and Viktorija Golubic 7-62 7-5.
In the quarter, Heather had a good straight sets win against Golubic (7-62 7-5). During the match Watson scored 99 points vs Golubic’s 87. Watson was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Watson recorded 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Heather Watson lost the serve once and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 55% of her first serves in, winning 70% (32/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Golubic twice after converting 29% of her break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Heather started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points she played.
Heather’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the W25 Glasgow and the W40+H Calvi.
Watson has an overall 22-12 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Nottingham
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Boulter | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 99 |
| Pts | 226-176 | 341-278 |
| Total Points | 402 | 619 |
| Winners | 78 | 128 |
| %Winners | 35% | 38% |
Boulter played 3 matches while Watson competed in 5 matches. Watson started her run from the qualifications while Boulter had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Boulter has played 4 set(s) less than Watson (6 vs 10). Therefore, Boulter played 41 games less than Watson. Katie scored 78 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Heather managed to score 128 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Boulter | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 5.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st in | 117/192 | 173/287 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 78/117 | 128/173 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 39/75 | 64/114 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 56% |
Boulter bagged 17 aces (5.7 per match). Watson scored 18 aces (3.6 per match). Boulter won 67% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Watson won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Boulter | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 19 |
| Converted | 16/34 | 19/40 |
| % Converted | 47% | 48% |
| Conceded | 18 | 17 |
| Saved | 11 | 10 |
| % Saved | 61% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
The Brit broke her opponents 16 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Brit lost her serve 7 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded. Watson broke her opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. Watson conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Boulter | |||||
| R1 Appleton |
R2 Snigur |
1/4 Dart |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 21 | 58 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 92-78 | 72-58 | 226-176 | |
| Total points | 102 | 170 | 130 | 402 | |
| Winners | 24 | 25 | 29 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 27% | 40% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 37/53 | 42/78 | 38/61 | 117/192 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 54% | 62% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 25/42 | 29/38 | 78/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 60% | 76% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 21/36 | 10/23 | 39/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/17 | 5/9 | 16/34 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 29% | 56% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4/7 | 3/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 57% | 60% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Watson | |||||||
| Q1 Chang |
Q3 Rajecki |
R1 Niemeier |
R2 Maria |
1/4 Golubic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-62 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 25 | 99 | |
| pts | 60-47 | 55-36 | 67-55 | 60-53 | 99-87 | 341-278 | |
| Total points | 107 | 91 | 122 | 113 | 186 | 619 | |
| Winners | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 32 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% | 34% | 40% | 32% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 30/49 | 31/48 | 31/52 | 35/54 | 46/84 | 173/287 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 65% | 60% | 65% | 55% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 24/31 | 23/31 | 24/35 | 32/46 | 128/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 74% | 69% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 10/17 | 7/21 | 11/19 | 24/38 | 64/114 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 59% | 33% | 58% | 63% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/5 | 6/13 | 4/8 | 2/7 | 19/40 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 80% | 46% | 50% | 29% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 0/2 | 6/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 86% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLLWL
LLLLLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Nottingham
- Elliot BenchetritBenchetrit – Jules OkalaOkala (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rudolf MollekerMolleker – Gabriel PetitPetit (6-78 6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alize CornetCornet – Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Heather WatsonWatson – Katie BoulterBoulter (1-2) – H2H and prediction
