H2H, prediction of Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Gibert in Rome with odds, preview, pick | 17th May 2023

PREVIEW. Rome. Ostapenko and Badosa will fight against each other in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Wednesday the 17th of May

Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Paula Badosa Gibert

Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.48
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.65

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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Paula Badosa Gibert

This will be the 4th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa Gibert fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Badosa won 7-6(1) 6-1 in the 1st round in Sydney back in 2022.

Highlights Paula Badosa Gibert vs Jelena Ostapenko – Sydney 10-January-2022

Jelena Ostapenko

Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
15
High
5
LLLLWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-19 14-10 8-6 4-0 5-3 0-0
2023 37-22 21-15 7-4 1-1 8-2 0-0
2022 33-19 19-10 3-3 3-3 8-3 0-0
2021 32-19 12-9 5-4 7-4 8-2 0-0
2020 9-8 3-2 4-3 2-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 20, the Latvian reached the quarter after defeating Sorana Cirstea 6-3 3-6 6-2, Barbora Krejcikova 7-62 6-0 and Daria Kasatkina 6-4 4-6 6-0.

In the 4th round, Jelena defeated Kasatkina (6-4 4-6 6-0). During the match, Ostapenko scored 103 points vs Kasatkina’s 81. The Latvian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ostapenko scored 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Kasatkina 6 times after converting 35% of her break points (6/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jelena has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Ostapenko has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (305-195). 5-2 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has an overall 87-42 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Jelena has a compiled 17-10 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Ostapenko
Rome
Ostapenko's Record

Paula Badosa Gibert

Paula Badosa Gibert
Paula Badosa Gibert

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
11
High
2
LWWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-18 26-11 6-5 0-0 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2020 14-9 7-6 6-2 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 35, the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Anna-Lena Friedsam 4-6 6-2 7-62, Ons Jabeur 6-1 6-4, Marta Kostyuk 6-4 6-2 and Karolina Muchova 6-4 6-74 6-2.

In the 4th round, The Spaniard defeated Muchova (6-4 6-74 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 119 points vs Muchova’s 109. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.

About the serving games, Badosa bagged 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve 4 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 62% of her first serves in, winning 66% (48/73) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Muchova 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Badosa has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Badosa’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.

Badosa has an overall 17-7 win-loss record in 2023, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See her history.

Badosa
Rome
Badosa's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Ostapenko
P.Badosa
5h:28
5h:28
Time on court​
!
8h:22
8h:22
1h:59
1h:59
Last match​
!
3h:04
3h:04
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
71
71
Games Played​
97
97
8
8
Set played​​
10
10
275
275
Total points​
362
362
91.7
91.7
Avg point​
90.5
90.5
90
90
Winners
131
131
30
30
Avg Winners​
32.8
32.8
33%
33%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
10
10
3.3
3.3
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
9
9
Double Faults
18
18
3
3
Avg Double Faults
4.5
4.5
90/138
90/138
1st won total​
131/206
131/206
65%
65%
1st won %
64%
64%
59/99
59/99
2nd won total​
70/143
70/143
60%
60%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
17/40
17/40
BP won
24/45
24/45
5.7/13.3
5.7/13.3
Avg BP won
6/11.3
6/11.3
43%
43%
Won
!
53%
53%
26
26
Conceded
37
37
8.7
8.7
Avg Conceded
9.3
9.3
9
9
Broken
14
14
3
3
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
17
17
Saved
23
23

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ostapenko Badosa
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 8 10
Tot Games 71 97
Pts 275-215 362-315
Total Points 490 677
Winners 90 131
%Winners 33% 36%

Ostapenko played 3 matches while Badosa competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko lost 2 sets, while Paula Badosa Gibert surrendered 2 sets. Ostapenko has played 2 set(s) less than Badosa (8 vs 10). Therefore, Ostapenko played 26 games less than Badosa. Ostapenko scored 90 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 131 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ostapenko Badosa
Aces 10 10
Avg per match 3.3 2.5
1st in 138/237 206/349
%1st in 58% 59%
1st pts 90/138 131/206
%1st pts 65% 64%
2nd pts 59/99 70/143
%2nd pts 60% 49%

Ostapenko bagged 10 aces (3.3 per match). Badosa made 10 aces (2.5 per match). Ostapenko won 65% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ostapenko Badosa
Won 17 24
Converted 17/40 24/45
% Converted 43% 53%
Conceded 26 37
Saved 17 23
% Saved 65% 62%
Times Broken 9 14

Ostapenko broke her opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jelena surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 24 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.

Ostapenko
R2
Cirstea
R3
Krejcikova
R4
Kasatkina
Total
Score 6-3 3-6 6-2 7-62 6-0 6-4 4-6 6-0
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 26 19 26 71
pts 111-94 61-40 103-81 275-215
Total points 205 101 184 490
Winners 36 21 33 90
%Winners 32% 34% 32% 33%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 4 10
Double Faults 1 4 4 9
1st in 61/99 28/52 49/86 138/237
% 1st in 62% 54% 57% 58%
1st pts 36/61 21/28 33/49 90/138
% 1st pts 59% 75% 67% 65%
2nd pts 23/38 14/24 22/37 59/99
% 2nd pts 61% 58% 59% 60%
Breaks
Won 6 5 6 17
Converted 6/17 5/6 6/17 17/40
Converted % 35% 83% 35% 43%
Conceded 13 3 10 26
Saved 9/13 1/3 7/10 17
Saved % 69% 33% 70% 57%
Times Broken 4 2 3 9
Badosa
R1
Friedsam
R2
Jabeur
R3
Kostyuk
R4
Muchova
Total
Score 4-6 6-2 7-62 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-74 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 2 3 10
Tot Games 31 17 18 31 97
pts 109-99 60-45 74-62 119-109 362-315
Total points 208 105 136 228 677
Winners 38 24 21 48 131
%Winners 35% 40% 28% 40% 36%
SERVE
Aces 4 3 1 2 10
Double Faults 6 2 4 6 18
1st in 60/108 36/57 37/67 73/117 206/349
% 1st in 56% 63% 55% 62% 59%
1st pts 38/60 24/36 21/37 48/73 131/206
% 1st pts 63% 67% 57% 66% 64%
2nd pts 27/48 10/21 13/30 20/44 70/143
% 2nd pts 56% 48% 43% 45% 49%
Breaks
Won 5 5 7 7 24
Converted 5/11 5/9 7/14 7/11 24/45
Converted % 45% 56% 50% 64% 53%
Conceded 10 3 10 14 37
Saved 6/10 1/3 6/10 10/14 23
Saved % 60% 33% 60% 71% 75%
Times Broken 4 2 4 4 14

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Ostapenko
LLLLWLLWWW
Badosa Gibert
2024 2023 2022
31 - 19
0 - 0
14-10
Hard
0-0
4-0
I Hard
0-0
8-6
Clay
0-0
5-3
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores in Rome

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw