Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev will play each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 15th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 6:30 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.533
Alexander Zverev -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Zverev
This will be the 15th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev square off. The head to head is 8-6 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 3-6 7-5 7-6(7) in the 3rd round in Monte carlo back in April 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev – Monte carlo 13-April-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-10 | 18-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Medvedev reached the 4th round after beating Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4 6-2 and Bernabe Zapata Miralles 3-6 6-1 6-3.
In the 3rd round against Zapata Miralles, Medvedev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 80 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 69. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev bagged 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was very effective on serve to win 72% (33/46) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Daniil broke Zapata Miralles 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil has dropped 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (458-183). 6-2 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an overall 73-42 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3.
Daniil has a composed 35-5 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Alexander Zverev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-13 | 18-6 | 21-5 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-11 | 12-7 | 3-1 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Zverev got to the 4th round after beating David Goffin 5-7 6-3 6-4 and Jeff Wolf 6-4 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Wolf (6-4 7-5). During the match Zverev scored 70 points vs Wolf’s 57. Alexander was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Zverev bagged 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was very efficient on serve to win 77% (30/39) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Zverev broke Wolf 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zverev has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Zverev’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
Alexander has a composed 14-12 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 53 |
| Pts | 138-116 | 165-144 |
| Total Points | 254 | 309 |
| Winners | 58 | 67 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Both Medvedev and Zverev played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set, while Alexander Zverev lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Zverev have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Medvedev played 10 games less than Zverev. Medvedev scored 58 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The German blasted 67 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 8 |
| 1st in | 81/125 | 93/140 |
| %1st in | 65% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 58/81 | 67/93 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 22/44 | 24/47 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 51% |
Medvedev bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Zverev fired 16 aces (8 per match). Medvedev won 72% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 10 |
| Converted | 10/24 | 10/27 |
| % Converted | 42% | 37% |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 56% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Alexander broke his opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. Zverev conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R2 Ruusuvuori |
R3 Zapata Miralles |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 | 43 | |
| pts | 58-47 | 80-69 | 138-116 | |
| Total points | 105 | 149 | 254 | |
| Winners | 25 | 33 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 35/54 | 46/71 | 81/125 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 25/35 | 33/46 | 58/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 14/25 | 22/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 56% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/13 | 10/24 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 38% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 71% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Zverev | ||||
| R2 Goffin |
R3 Wolf |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 22 | 53 | |
| pts | 95-87 | 70-57 | 165-144 | |
| Total points | 182 | 127 | 309 | |
| Winners | 37 | 30 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 54/82 | 39/58 | 93/140 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 37/54 | 30/39 | 67/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 77% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 13/19 | 24/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 68% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 7/19 | 3/8 | 10/27 | |
| Converted % | 37% | 38% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 0% | 19% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWWLWL
WLWWWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jannik SinnerSinner (6-73 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 5-7 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Laslo DjereDjere (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-8) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-2) – H2H and prediction
