Maria Sakkari and Marketa Vondrousova will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on PIETRANGELI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marketa Vondrousova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marketa Vondrousova is the pick to win this match.
Marketa Vondrousova -> 1.57
Maria Sakkari -> 2.41
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Marketa Vondrousova
There is no head to head record between Maria Sakkari and Marketa Vondrousova since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 14-19 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 12-8 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Greek got to the 3rd round after defeating Barbora Strycova 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Strycova (6-1 6-3). During the match, Sakkari scored 59 points vs Strycova’s 43. The Greek was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sakkari fired 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 59% of her first serves in, winning 76% (25/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (7/23) on the 2nd serve. Sakkari broke Strycova 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Sakkari has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (361-217). 5-2 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sakkari has a composed 148-77 match record in the last years on clay.
Sakkari’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia, Linz, Doha, Indian Wells and Madrid.
Maria has an overall 20-9 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Marketa Vondrousova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 10-8 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-11 | 5-4 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-18 | 19-12 | 9-3 | 4-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-7 | 11-3 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-19 | 21-10 | 4-4 | 8-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 70, the Czech got to the 3rd round after beating Kaia Kanepi 6-0 4-6 6-2 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-0 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Marketa had a good straight sets win against Andreescu (6-0 6-1). During the match Vondrousova scored 56 points vs Andreescu’s 27. Vondrousova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Vondrousova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Marketa Vondrousova was very efficient on serve to win 91% (20/22) of her 1st serve and 57% (4/7) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marketa broke Andreescu 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Vondrousova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.
Marketa’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Linz.
Marketa has a compiled 20-7 win-loss record in 2023, 7-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 37 |
| Pts | 59-43 | 148-96 |
| Total Points | 102 | 244 |
| Winners | 25 | 52 |
| %Winners | 42% | 35% |
Sakkari played 1 match while Vondrousova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Marketa Vondrousova surrendered 1 set while Maria Sakkari hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sakkari has played 3 set(s) less than Vondrousova (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sakkari played 21 games less than Vondrousova. Maria scored 25 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Vondrousova recorded 52 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 33/56 | 76/120 |
| %1st in | 59% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 52/76 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 7/23 | 22/44 |
| %2nd pts | 30% | 50% |
Sakkari blasted 4 aces . Vondrousova scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Sakkari won 76% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 30% of the points. On the other side, Vondrousova won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 14 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 60% | 54% |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Saved | 6 | 8 |
| % Saved | 75% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Greek broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Greek conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | |||
| R2 Strycova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 59-43 | 59-43 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/56 | 33/56 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 25/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/23 | 7/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | 30% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Vondrousova | ||||
| R1 Kanepi |
R2 Andreescu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 4-6 6-2 | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 13 | 37 | |
| pts | 92-69 | 56-27 | 148-96 | |
| Total points | 161 | 83 | 244 | |
| Winners | 32 | 20 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 13 | 1 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 54/91 | 22/29 | 76/120 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 76% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/54 | 20/22 | 52/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 91% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 4/7 | 22/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 57% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 8/14 | 6/12 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 50% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 0 | 12 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWLLWW
LLWWWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Sofia KeninKenin (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Magda LinetteLinette (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-5 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Xiyu WangWang – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-2 0-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Anna BondarBondar (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Marta KostyukKostyuk (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Julia GrabherGrabher – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Madison KeysKeys (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Xiyu WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
