Aryna Sabalenka and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.133
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano -> 5.9
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 6-0 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2021.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano – Wimbledon 02-July-2021
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Sabalenka reached the 3rd round after defeating Sorana Cirstea 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Cirstea (6-4 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 67 points vs Cirstea’s 54. Aryna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka bagged 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 72% of her first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Cirstea 5 times.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (287-144). 4-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an overall52-33 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Adelaide where she defeated Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.
The Belarussian has a composed 24-4 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-22 | 12-11 | 17-7 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-20 | 7-10 | 15-7 | 5-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-19 | 13-11 | 5-3 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-17 | 14-12 | 16-3 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-13 | 7-6 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 115, Camila Osorio Serrano reached the 3rd round after beating Clara Burel 6-3 6-4 and Marta Kostyuk 3-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Kostyuk, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Camila Osorio Serrano scored 107 points vs Kostyuk’s 103. Camila Osorio Serrano was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Camila Osorio Serrano was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Maria Camila Osorio Serrano lost the serve twice and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Camila Osorio Serrano put 70% of her first serves in, winning 66% (53/80) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Kostyuk 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maria has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Colombian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Lyon.
Maria has an overall 6-4 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
The Colombian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Camila Osorio Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 47 |
| Pts | 67-54 | 178-157 |
| Total Points | 121 | 335 |
| Winners | 30 | 83 |
| %Winners | 45% | 47% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Camila Osorio Serrano competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Maria Camila Osorio Serrano dropped 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Camila Osorio Serrano (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 28 games less than Camila Osorio Serrano. Aryna scored 30 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Colombian recorded 83 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Camila Osorio Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 0 |
| 1st in | 46/64 | 126/184 |
| %1st in | 72% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 83/126 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 28/58 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 48% |
Sabalenka bagged 7 aces . Camila Osorio Serrano didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sabalenka won 65% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Camila Osorio Serrano won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Camila Osorio Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/5 | 8/20 |
| % Converted | 100% | 40% |
| Conceded | 8 | 18 |
| Saved | 6 | 13 |
| % Saved | 75% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
The Belarussian broke her opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Camila Osorio Serrano broke her opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Camila Osorio Serrano conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Cirstea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 67-54 | 67-54 | |
| Total points | 121 | 121 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 46/64 | 46/64 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 30/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 9/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 5/5 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Camila Osorio Serrano | ||||
| R1 Burel |
R2 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 | 47 | |
| pts | 71-54 | 107-103 | 178-157 | |
| Total points | 125 | 210 | 335 | |
| Winners | 30 | 53 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 50% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 46/69 | 80/115 | 126/184 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 70% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 53/80 | 83/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 16/35 | 28/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 46% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/10 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 30% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 | 18 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 11/13 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 85% | 125% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
WWLWWLLWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-5 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Danka KovinicKovinic (6-3 4-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (7-5 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Eugenie BouchardBouchard (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alycia ParksParks – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Alize CornetCornet (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Donna VekicVekic (6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Rebecca MarinoMarino (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Irene Burillo EscorihuelaBurillo Escorihuela (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Mayar SherifSherif – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Ana BogdanBogdan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (7-61 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Arantxa RusRus (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Maryna ZanevskaZanevska (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Petra KvitovaKvitova (7-69 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Kevin KingKing – Deiton BaughmanBaughman (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Dennis NevoloNevolo – Evan ZhuZhu (6-1 7-67) – See score progression
- Jorge MonteroMontero – Takanyi GarangangaGaranganga (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Liam CaruanaCaruana – Boris AriasArias (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Roberto Cid SuberviCid Subervi – Kaichi UchidaUchida (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Makoto OchiOchi – Samuel MonetteMonette (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Benjamin SigouinSigouin – Ante PavicPavic (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Daniel NguyenNguyen – Jonathan ChangChang (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-4 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Alize CornetCornet (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Danka KovinicKovinic (6-3 4-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (7-6(6) 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-5 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Eugenie BouchardBouchard (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alycia ParksParks – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (7-5 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Julia GrabherGrabher (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xiyu WangWang – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Alycia ParksParks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Shelby RogersRogers (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Mayar SherifSherif (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
